Everton vs Liverpool - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Everton arrive in this Merseyside derby in stronger recent league form, taking 10 points from their last five matches thanks to three wins and a draw. Liverpool have been less consistent with 7 points over the same span, mixing two defeats with two victories and a draw. Recent head-to-heads, however, lean towards the visitors: Liverpool edged the reverse fixture 2-1 and also won 1-0 in another home meeting, while Everton’s last success in this run was a 2-0 home win. The other clash in this sequence finished 2-2, underlining how tight this fixture can be. For Everton, defensive stability will be central, with Jordan Pickford (GAP +3.1%) behind a back line featuring James Tarkowski (GAP +3.6%) and Jarrad Branthwaite. Their recent points return suggests a side comfortable in controlled, lower-margin games, and the presence of Idrissa Gueye in midfield should help screen against Liverpool’s central runners. Liverpool’s threat is still defined by Mohamed Salah (GAP +2.9%), supported by Alexis Mac Allister (GAP +3.1%) in midfield, as they look to convert a superior recent derby record into another result away from home. Injuries and availability Everton could be boosted by the possible return of Carlos Alcaraz, who is nearing fitness after a knock that kept him out since missing the Manchester United match in February; he is being monitored ahead of this fixture. Jack Grealish remains a long-term absentee with a foot injury and is expected to be sidelined until at least early June. Liverpool have several ongoing issues: Stefan Bajcetic is still out with a hamstring problem, while Jayden Danns also continues his recovery from a hamstring setback. Wataru Endo is sidelined with a foot injury and is not expected back imminently. Conor Bradley is ruled out for the season following knee surgery, and Giovanni Leoni is also a long-term absentee with an ACL knee injury. Alisson is recovering from a muscle injury and, despite being listed in the expected lineup, is only projected to return towards the end of the season, so his availability here remains uncertain. Curtis Jones is a doubt after a recent groin issue, though his quick return to training offers some hope of involvement.