Brentford vs Fulham - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Brentford come into Gameweek 33 on the back of a five-match unbeaten league run, drawing four in a row before finally taking three points last time out for a total of 7 points from their last 5 games. Fulham have also collected 7 points over the same span, but in a more volatile pattern of two wins, two defeats and a draw. Our Plus Minus model leans towards the hosts at the Brentford Community Stadium, giving Brentford a 53% chance of victory, with the draw at 27% and Fulham at 21%. Recent head-to-head data strongly favours Fulham. They have won the last three league meetings between the sides, including 3-1 at home in September 2025 and a 3-2 away win in May 2025, while also edging a 2-1 home success in November 2024. Brentford’s last clean sheet in this fixture was a 0-0 home draw in May 2024. That run suggests Brentford’s back line, likely anchored by Nathan Michael Collins (GAP +1.9%) and Sepp van den Berg, will be under scrutiny against a Fulham attack led by Raúl Jiménez (GAP +0.1%). At the other end, Brentford’s attacking threat could hinge on the movement and direct running of Kevin Schade (GAP +3.3%) and the creativity of Mathias Jensen (GAP +1.8%), while Fulham will look for progression and ball-carrying from Alex Iwobi (GAP +0.9%) and wide threat from Harry Wilson (GAP +1.6%). Injuries and availability Brentford remain without Fabio Carvalho, who is out for the season with a knee (ACL) injury and not expected back before 1 June 2026. Antoni Milambo is also sidelined long term after knee surgery, likewise targeting a 1 June 2026 return. Midfielder Pelenda Joshua Dasilva is still working back to full match fitness after a serious knee issue and is not expected to be rushed into action. Vitaly Janelt continues to miss out with a metatarsal foot injury and is still described as weeks away, while Rico Henry is sidelined by a hamstring problem picked up in early March. Jordan Henderson is a doubt with a knock sustained on international duty and is likely to be out for a few weeks, and Aaron Hickey is only a tentative option as he returns to training following a hamstring injury. For Fulham, Harrison Reed is unavailable after a knee knock that ruled him out of the Liverpool match on 11 April. Kevin is sidelined following metatarsal surgery and may not feature again this season, while Kenny Tete remains out with an ongoing foot issue that has kept him absent since March.