Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33
AI Match Prediction
Predicted Lineups
Leeds United
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers
Leeds United come into Gameweek 33 with slightly weaker recent form than Wolverhampton Wanderers, taking 5 points from their last five league matches with a run of one win, two draws and two defeats. Wolves have collected 7 points over the same span, mixing two wins and a draw with two losses, suggesting a marginally stronger short-term trend. However, the Plus Minus model still leans towards the hosts at Elland Road, giving Leeds a 48% chance of victory, compared to 21% for an away win and 31% for the draw. Leeds also have the psychological edge from their most recent head-to-head, a 3-1 away win at Molineux on 20 September 2025. Leeds’ attacking structure is likely to revolve around Dominic Calvert-Lewin (GAP +3.1%), supported by Brenden Aaronson (GAP +1.0%) between the lines, while Ethan Ampadu’s (GAP +0.5%) versatility in the spine should be important in controlling transitions. For Wolves, Jose Sa (GAP +0.5%) remains a key figure in goal behind a back line that includes Santi Bueno and Ladislav Krejčí, with Mateus Dami Mané (GAP +2.1%) offering a direct outlet in advanced areas. With Leeds having already shown they can open up this Wolves side in that 3-1 meeting earlier in the season, the model’s tilt towards a home win reflects both that head-to-head evidence and the Elland Road advantage. Injuries and availability Leeds are without Daniel James, who remains sidelined with a muscle problem and has no clear return date yet. At the back, Joe Rodon is out with an ankle injury and is not expected back until around 1 May 2026, while fellow defender Anton Stach is also targeting a similar early-May return after his own ankle issue. For Wolves, Matt Doherty is carrying a muscle injury and is rated doubtful, though there is hope he could be available again by 18 April 2026. Goalkeeper Sam Johnstone is ruled out with a shoulder injury and is not expected to return until late May, and defender Yerson Mosquera is suspended, serving a two-match ban that keeps him out until early May.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Leeds United | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 36 | L L D D W |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 24 | 58 | -34 | 17 | L W W D L |
Last Games
Premier League
Gameweek 33
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.