1. FC Köln vs Werder Bremen - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 29
Goals
Game Review
In a crucial Bundesliga clash, 1. FC Köln secured a decisive 3-1 victory over Werder Bremen, a result that could have significant implications for both teams as the season progresses. The match, held on Sunday, 12 April 2026, saw Köln capitalize on their opportunities, while Werder Bremen struggled, particularly after being reduced to ten men early in the game. The match began with a bang as Said El Mala (GAP +0.8%) put Köln ahead in the 7th minute, setting the tone for the home side. The early goal was a blow to Werder Bremen, who were further hampered by a red card to Marco Friedl (GAP +2.5%) in the 24th minute. This dismissal forced Bremen to play the majority of the match with ten men, a disadvantage that Köln exploited effectively. Ragnar Ache (GAP -2.9%) doubled Köln's lead in the 65th minute, showcasing his clinical finishing. Despite being a man down, Werder Bremen managed to pull one back through Romano Schmid (GAP +1.2%) in the 75th minute, briefly raising hopes of a comeback. However, any such hopes were dashed when Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson (GAP -2.2%) sealed the victory for Köln with a goal in the 90th minute. Tactically, Köln's manager made no changes to the starting lineup from their previous match, indicating confidence in his squad's form and fitness. On the other hand, Werder Bremen's head coach made several changes, bringing in players like Jovan Milošević and Abdoul Coulibaly from the bench, but these adjustments were not enough to overcome the numerical disadvantage. The result leaves Köln in a stronger position as they continue to climb the Bundesliga table, while Werder Bremen will need to regroup quickly to avoid slipping further down the standings. The red card incident was a turning point, and post-match reactions have focused on the discipline issues that have plagued Bremen this season. Overall, this match highlighted Köln's ability to capitalize on their opponents' mistakes, a trait that could serve them well in the remaining fixtures of the season.
Lineups
1. FC Köln
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| UNK |
Substitutes
| 46' | Alessio Castro-Montesfor Kristoffer Lund Hansen |
| 67' | Marius Bülterfor Jan Thielmann |
| 67' | Linton Mainafor Said El Mala |
| 76' | Luca Waldschmidtfor Ragnar Ache |
| 86' | Tom Kraußfor Sebastian Sebulonsen |
Werder Bremen
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 46' | Abdoul Coulibalyfor Yukinari Sugawara |
| 78' | Isaac Schmidtfor Felix Agu |
| 84' | Jovan Miloševićfor Leonardo Bittencourt |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 30 | L D D D W |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 | W L W L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek 29
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.