Werder Bremen vs FSV Mainz 05 - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 26
Goals
Game Review
FSV Mainz 05 secured a crucial 2-0 victory over Werder Bremen in their Bundesliga clash on Sunday, 15 March 2026. The match, held at Werder Bremen's home ground, saw Mainz take control early on and maintain their advantage throughout the game. This result was somewhat expected given Mainz's recent form, as they came into the match with a solid run of performances. The game started with a bang for Mainz, as Paul Nebel (GAP +1.1%) found the back of the net in the 6th minute, setting the tone for the visitors. Werder Bremen struggled to respond effectively, with their attacking efforts falling short against a well-organized Mainz defense. The second half saw Jae-Sung Lee (GAP +1.7%) double Mainz's lead in the 52nd minute, further solidifying their dominance. In terms of tactical setup, Werder Bremen's manager made several changes during the match, bringing in Patrice Čović, Isaac Schmidt, Mick Schmetgens, and Justin Njinmah from the bench. However, these substitutions did not significantly alter the course of the game. Mainz's head coach also utilized his bench effectively, introducing Kacper Potulski, Nikolas Veratschnig, Lennard Maloney, Sota Kawasaki, and Nelson Weiper to maintain their grip on the match. Key performances included Dominik Kohr (GAP +4.9%), who was instrumental in midfield for Mainz, providing stability and linking play effectively. On the other hand, Werder Bremen's Leonardo Bittencourt (GAP -2.9%) struggled to make an impact, reflecting the home side's overall difficulties in breaking down Mainz's defense. This victory propels Mainz further up the Bundesliga table, enhancing their chances of securing a European spot. For Werder Bremen, this defeat highlights the need for tactical adjustments as they aim to improve their standing in the league. With only a few matches left in the season, both teams will be looking to capitalize on their remaining fixtures to achieve their respective goals.
Lineups
Werder Bremen
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 46' | Justin Njinmahfor Keke Topp |
| 55' | Mick Schmetgensfor Julián Malatini |
| 69' | Patrice Čovićfor Leonardo Bittencourt |
| 69' | Isaac Schmidtfor Yukinari Sugawara |
FSV Mainz 05
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 72' | Nelson Weiperfor Phillip Tietz |
| 72' | Nikolas Veratschnigfor Phillipp Mwene |
| 81' | Kacper Potulskifor Silvan Widmer |
| 87' | Lennard Maloneyfor Sheraldo Becker |
| 87' | Sota Kawasakifor Jae-Sung Lee |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 27 | L D D D W |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 25 | L L W W L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek 26
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.