FC Heidenheim vs St. Pauli - Predictions, Stats & Odds

FC Heidenheim come into this Gameweek 31 clash with a slight form edge, having taken 5 points from their last five Bundesliga matches through one win, two draws and two defeats. St. Pauli have struggled more over the same stretch, collecting just 2 points with two draws and three losses. The Plus Minus model rates this as almost perfectly balanced: 35% probability for a home win, 35% for an away win and 30% for the draw, underlining how finely poised this meeting looks. Recent head-to-heads have been tight and slightly in St. Pauli’s favour. They won 2-1 at home in December 2025 and also claimed a 2-0 away victory in January 2025, while Heidenheim’s last success in this fixture was a 2-0 win in August 2024. For the hosts, the creative and ball-progressing role of Niklas Dorsch (GAP -5.8%) in midfield and the defensive leadership of Patrick Mainka (GAP -2.9%) will be central to stabilising a side that has mixed results but more resilience than their visitors. St. Pauli will look to captain figure Jackson Irvine (GAP +1.2%) to drive their pressing game from midfield, with Hauke Wahl (GAP +0.2%) key to organising a back line that has recently conceded too many chances. Injuries and availability St. Pauli are without James Sands, who has been ruled out long term with a serious injury and is not expected back for around one month and one week, and Ricky-Jade Jones remains in rehabilitation after a syndesmosis tear, with his return projected in roughly two months and two weeks. Heidenheim have their own absentees: Leart Paçarada is sidelined by a cruciate ligament rupture with an estimated seven months and one week out, while Sirlord Conteh is dealing with a knee injury that should keep him out for about a month. Mikkel Kaufmann is also likely to miss this match due to a calf muscle problem, with his return targeted in approximately two weeks and three days.