VfL Wolfsburg vs Borussia Mönchengladbach - Predictions, Stats & Odds

VfL Wolfsburg come into this Gameweek 31 clash with just one win and four points from their last five Bundesliga matches, having lost three of those games before a draw last time out. Borussia Mönchengladbach have been slightly more stable with six points from their last five, drawing three, losing one and winning their most recent outing. Despite Wolfsburg’s strong 3-1 away win at Gladbach in December and a dominant 5-1 home victory in January, the Plus Minus model rates this as almost even: 34% probability for a Wolfsburg home win, 30% for a draw and 36% for an away success. Head-to-head momentum is clearly with Wolfsburg, who have won three of the last four league meetings, including 1-0 away and 5-1 at home in 2025, though Gladbach did win 3-1 in Wolfsburg in April 2024. The hosts will again look for vertical threat and transition speed, with Mohammed Amoura (GAP +4.2%) a key outlet against a Gladbach back line that has sometimes struggled under pressure. For the visitors, wide service and set-piece quality from Franck Honorat (GAP +1.0%) could be crucial in targeting a Wolfsburg defence that has conceded heavily in several recent defeats. Injuries and availability Gladbach are without Tiago Pereira Cardoso, who is sidelined by an infection and is expected to be out for around three weeks and four days, while striker Tim Kleindienst remains in rehabilitation after knee arthroscopy and is not expected back for roughly four months and two weeks. Wolfsburg have several notable absentees: Jonas Wind is dealing with a thigh muscle fibre tear and is likely to miss around one week and six days, Rogério faces a long spell out with a knee injury estimated at six months and five days, and both Jenson Seelt and Cleiton are recovering from knee and ankle injuries respectively, each projected to be out for about two months and three weeks. Kilian Fischer is in build-up training after an adductor muscle problem, with a return timeline of roughly two months and two weeks, while Mattias Svanberg is also in build-up training following a calf muscle fibre tear and could be back in around one week and six days. Bence Dárdai continues long-term rehabilitation from a cruciate ligament rupture, with an expected return in about five months and two weeks.