St. Pauli vs SC Freiburg - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 27
Goals
Game Review
In a closely contested Bundesliga match, SC Freiburg edged past St. Pauli with a 2-1 victory, thanks to a brace from Igor Matanovic (GAP +0.2%). The result was somewhat expected given Freiburg's stronger position in the league and recent form, although St. Pauli put up a commendable fight. The match began with St. Pauli taking an early lead through Danel Sinani (GAP -2.4%) in the 24th minute, setting the tone for a competitive encounter. However, Freiburg's resilience shone through in the second half. Igor Matanovic, who was instrumental in Freiburg's attack, equalized in the 65th minute and then secured the win with another goal in the 78th minute. Tactically, Freiburg's manager made five substitutions, bringing in Derry Scherhant, Cyriaque Irié, Lucas Höler, Philipp Lienhart, and Patrick Osterhage to maintain the team's momentum and adapt to St. Pauli's strategies. St. Pauli also made four changes, introducing Connor Metcalfe, Andréas Hountondji, Louis Oppie, and Martijn Kaars in an attempt to regain control of the match. Key performances included Jan-Niklas Beste (GAP +3.5%), who was pivotal in midfield for Freiburg, providing the necessary support to Matanovic. Matthias Ginter (GAP +2.0%) also played a crucial role in defense, ensuring Freiburg held onto their lead despite St. Pauli's persistent attacks. This victory solidifies SC Freiburg's position in the upper half of the Bundesliga table, enhancing their chances for European competition next season. Meanwhile, St. Pauli will need to regroup and focus on their upcoming fixtures to climb out of the lower half of the standings. The match highlighted Freiburg's ability to capitalize on key moments, a trait that will be vital as the season progresses.
Lineups
St. Pauli
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 68' | Louis Oppiefor Lars Ritzka |
| 84' | Andréas Hountondjifor Mathias Pereira-Lage |
| 84' | Connor Metcalfefor Mathias Rasmussen |
| 89' | Martijn Kaarsfor Tomoya Ando |
SC Freiburg
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 46' | Philipp Lienhartfor Bruno Ogbus |
| 46' | Cyriaque Iriéfor Jan-Niklas Beste |
| 68' | Derry Scherhantfor Vincenzo Grifo |
| 86' | Lucas Hölerfor Igor Matanovic |
| 89' | Patrick Osterhagefor Johan Manzambi |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 37 | W L D L W |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 24 | W W D L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek 27
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.