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Union Berlin vs St. Pauli - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 28

Bundesliga - Gameweek 28

Sunday, 5 Apr 2026 • 15:30

Union Berlin

1 : 1

St. Pauli

Goals

25'
0 : 1
Mathias Pereir...
0 : 1
Mathias Pereira-Lage25'
Andrej Ilić
1 : 1
52'
52'Andrej Ilić
1 : 1

Game Review

Union Berlin and St. Pauli played out a 1-1 draw in their Bundesliga clash on Sunday, a result that reflects the competitive nature of the match. Both teams entered the game with contrasting forms, but the outcome was not entirely unexpected given their performances on the day. The match began with St. Pauli taking the lead in the 25th minute through Mathias Pereira-Lage (GAP -1.9%), who capitalized on a defensive lapse by Union Berlin. The home side responded in the second half, with Andrej Ilić (GAP -1.0%) equalizing in the 52nd minute, ensuring that the points were shared. A significant moment came late in the game when Jackson Irvine (GAP +1.0%) received a red card in the 90th minute, reducing St. Pauli to ten men. This disciplinary issue did not, however, alter the scoreline as Union Berlin could not capitalize on the numerical advantage. From a tactical perspective, Union Berlin's lineup featured no changes from their previous match, indicating a consistent approach by their manager. St. Pauli, on the other hand, made several substitutions during the game, bringing in Abdoulie Ceesay, Connor Metcalfe, and Andréas Hountondji, which suggests a strategy to inject fresh energy into the team. In terms of individual performances, Diogo Leite (GAP +1.4%) stood out for Union Berlin, contributing significantly to their defensive stability. Meanwhile, Oliver Burke (GAP +1.1%) was instrumental in Union's attacking efforts, although he couldn't find the back of the net. This draw leaves Union Berlin in a stable mid-table position, maintaining their recent form. St. Pauli, while managing to secure a point away from home, will need to address their disciplinary issues to improve their standing in the league. Overall, the match was a testament to the competitive spirit of both teams, with each side showing resilience and tactical awareness. As the Bundesliga season progresses, both Union Berlin and St. Pauli will look to build on this performance to climb higher in the standings.

Lineups

Union Berlin

PosPlayer
GK
Frederik Rønnow
DEF
Diogo Leite
DEF
Danilho Doekhi
DEF
Derrick Köhn
DEF
Leopold Querfeld
MID
Rani Khedira
MID
Janik Haberer
MID
András Schäfer
FWD
Oliver Burke
FWD
Jeong Woo-yeong
FWD
Andrej Ilić

Substitutes

73'Alex Králfor Jeong Woo-yeong
80'Ilyas Ansahfor Oliver Burke
80'Tom Rothefor Derrick Köhn

St. Pauli

PosPlayer
GK
Nikola Vasilj
DEF
Hauke Wahl
DEF
Adam Dźwigała
DEF
Karol Mets
MID
Mathias Rasmussen
MID
Jackson Irvine
MID
Mathias Pereira-Lage
MID
Joel Fujita
MID
Danel Sinani
FWD
Arkadiusz Pyrka
FWD
Martijn Kaars

Substitutes

60'Andréas Hountondjifor Martijn Kaars
73'Connor Metcalfefor Joel Fujita
89'Abdoulie Ceesayfor Mathias Rasmussen
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
10Union Berlin2888123247-1532
L
L
W
L
D
16St. Pauli2867152545-2025
W
D
L
L
D

Last Games

Union Berlin

@FC Bayern München
0 - 4
@SC Freiburg
1 - 0
vsWerder Bremen
1 - 4
@Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 - 1
vsBayer 04 Leverkusen
1 - 0

St. Pauli

vsSC Freiburg
1 - 2
@Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 - 2
vsEintracht Frankfurt
0 - 0
@1899 Hoffenheim
1 - 0
vsWerder Bremen
2 - 1

Head-to-Head

05 Apr 2026
Union Berlin1 - 1St. Pauli
05 Apr 2026Union Berlin
1 - 1
St. Pauli
23 Nov 2025
St. Pauli0 - 1Union Berlin
23 Nov 2025St. Pauli
0 - 1
Union Berlin
26 Jan 2025
St. Pauli3 - 0Union Berlin
26 Jan 2025St. Pauli
3 - 0
Union Berlin
30 Aug 2024
Union Berlin1 - 0St. Pauli
30 Aug 2024Union Berlin
1 - 0
St. Pauli

Bundesliga

Gameweek 28

04 Apr • 17:00
Borussia Mönchengladbach
FC Heidenheim
2 - 2
04 Apr • 17:00
1899 Hoffenheim
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2
04 Apr • 17:00
Werder Bremen
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
04 Apr • 17:00
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
VfL Wolfsburg
6 - 3
04 Apr • 17:00
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern München
2 - 3
04 Apr • 17:00
Hamburger SV
FC Augsburg
1 - 1
04 Apr • 17:00
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 2
05 Apr • 15:30
Union Berlin
St. Pauli
1 - 1
05 Apr • 17:00
Eintracht Frankfurt
1. FC Köln
2 - 2

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.