FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 23
Goals
Game Review
In a tightly contested Bundesliga encounter, FSV Mainz 05 and Hamburger SV played out a 1-1 draw on Friday, 20 February 2026. The result was a fair reflection of the game, with both teams having their moments of dominance. Pre-match expectations had suggested a closely fought battle, and the teams delivered just that. The match began with both sides probing for weaknesses, but it was Mainz who struck first. Nadiem Amiri (GAP +4.1%) opened the scoring in the 42nd minute, capitalizing on a well-worked team move. His performance was instrumental in the midfield, providing creativity and control. However, Hamburger SV responded in the second half, with Fábio Vieira (GAP -0.1%) equalizing in the 64th minute. Vieira's goal was a testament to his persistence and technical ability, as he found space in a crowded penalty area to slot home. Tactically, both teams made strategic substitutions to influence the game. Mainz introduced Nikolas Veratschnig and Sheraldo Becker, while Hamburger SV brought on Yussuf Poulsen. These changes were aimed at injecting fresh energy and altering the dynamics on the pitch, though neither side could find a decisive breakthrough. From a statistical standpoint, Dominik Kohr (GAP +4.6%) was a standout performer for Mainz, contributing significantly to their defensive solidity. His presence in the midfield disrupted Hamburger SV's attempts to build momentum. On the other hand, Jordan Torunarigha (GAP +0.7%) was crucial for Hamburger SV, providing stability at the back and helping to neutralize Mainz's attacking threats. This draw leaves both teams in a similar position in the Bundesliga table, with neither side able to gain significant ground. For Mainz, the result maintains their mid-table stability, while Hamburger SV will see this as a missed opportunity to climb higher. Both teams will need to build on this performance as they look to improve their standings in the coming weeks.
Lineups
FSV Mainz 05
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 46' | Sheraldo Beckerfor Silas Katompa Mvumpa |
| 58' | Nikolas Veratschnigfor Dominik Kohr |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 26 | D D W W D |
| 13 | FSV Mainz 05 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 22 | W W W L D |
Last Games
Bundesliga
Gameweek 23
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.