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Newcastle United vs Brighton and Hove Albion - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 35

Premier League - Gameweek 35

Saturday, 2 May 2026 • 15:00

St James Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)

Newcastle United

3 : 1

Brighton and Hove Albion

Goals

William Daugaa...
1 : 0
12'
12'William Daugaard Osula
1 : 0
Dan Burn
2 : 0
24'
24'Dan Burn
2 : 0
61'
2 : 1
Jack Hinshelwo...
2 : 1
Jack Hinshelwood61'
Harvey Barnes
3 : 1
90'
90'Harvey Barnes
3 : 1

Game Review

Newcastle United secured a convincing 3-1 victory over Brighton and Hove Albion in their Premier League clash at St James' Park. The result was largely expected given Newcastle's strong form, having entered the match with a series of positive results. Brighton, on the other hand, struggled to find consistency in recent weeks. The match began with Newcastle taking an early lead through William Daugaard Osula (GAP +3.2%), who found the net in the 12th minute. Dan Burn (GAP +3.0%) doubled the advantage for the home side in the 24th minute, capitalizing on a defensive lapse from Brighton. Despite Brighton's efforts to claw back into the game, it wasn't until the 61st minute that Jack Hinshelwood (GAP +1.0%) managed to pull one back for the visitors. Newcastle's tactical setup proved effective, with Joelinton (GAP +4.1%) and Bruno Guimarães (GAP +4.0%) controlling the midfield and limiting Brighton's creative outlets. The introduction of Harvey Barnes in the latter stages added fresh energy, and he sealed the victory with a goal in the 90th minute. Both teams made one change to their starting lineups compared to their previous matches. Newcastle's manager opted to bring in Joelinton, replacing Jacob Ramsey, while Brighton's head coach introduced Danny Welbeck (GAP +3.2%) in place of Georginio Rutter. These changes reflected strategic adjustments, although specific reasons for the changes were not disclosed. The win solidifies Newcastle's position in the upper half of the table, maintaining their momentum as they aim for a strong finish to the season. Brighton, meanwhile, will need to regroup and address their defensive vulnerabilities to improve their standings in the remaining fixtures.

Lineups

Newcastle United

PosPlayer
GK
Nick Pope
DEF
Dan Burn
DEF
Sven Botman
DEF
Malick Thiaw
MID
Joelinton
MID
Sandro Tonali
MID
Joe Willock
MID
Bruno Guimarães
MID
Lewis Miley
FWD
Jacob Murphy
FWD
William Daugaard Osula

Substitutes

68'Lewis Hallfor Joe Willock
68'Harvey Barnes
for Jacob Murphy
68'Yoane Wissa
for William Daugaard Osula
90'Jacob Ramseyfor Bruno Guimarães

Brighton and Hove Albion

PosPlayer
GK
Bart Verbruggen
DEF
Olivier Boscagli
DEF
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
DEF
Jan Paul van Hecke
MID
Pascal Gross
MID
Carlos Baleba
MID
Mats Wieffer
MID
Jack Hinshelwood
FWD
Danny Welbeck
FWD
Kaoru Mitoma
FWD
Yankuba Minteh

Substitutes

18'Joel Veltman
for Mats Wieffer
80'Georginio Rutterfor Danny Welbeck
80'Charalambos Kostoulasfor Carlos Baleba
81'Maxim Cuyperfor Danny Welbeck
88'Lewis Dunkfor Jack Hinshelwood
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
8Brighton and Hove Albion351311114942+750
W
W
D
W
L
13Newcastle United35136164951-245
L
L
L
L
W

Last Games

Newcastle United

@Arsenal
0 - 1
vsBournemouth
1 - 2
@Crystal Palace
1 - 2
vsSunderland
1 - 2
@Chelsea
1 - 0

Brighton and Hove Albion

vsChelsea
3 - 0
@Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2
@Burnley
2 - 0
vsLiverpool
2 - 1
@Sunderland
1 - 0

Head-to-Head

02 May 2026
Newcastle United3 - 1Brighton and Hove...
02 May 2026Newcastle United
3 - 1
Brighton and Hove Albion
18 Oct 2025
Brighton and Hove...2 - 1Newcastle United
18 Oct 2025Brighton and Hove Albion
2 - 1
Newcastle United
04 May 2025
Brighton and Hove...1 - 1Newcastle United
04 May 2025Brighton and Hove Albion
1 - 1
Newcastle United
19 Oct 2024
Newcastle United0 - 1Brighton and Hove...
19 Oct 2024Newcastle United
0 - 1
Brighton and Hove Albion
11 May 2024
Newcastle United1 - 1Brighton and Hove...
11 May 2024Newcastle United
1 - 1
Brighton and Hove Albion

Premier League

Gameweek 35

01 May • 20:00
Leeds United
Burnley
3 - 1
02 May • 15:00
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Sunderland
1 - 1
02 May • 15:00
Brentford
West Ham United
3 - 0
02 May • 15:00
Newcastle United
Brighton and Hove Albion
3 - 1
02 May • 17:30
Arsenal
Fulham
3 - 0
03 May • 14:00
Bournemouth
Crystal Palace
3 - 0
03 May • 15:30
Manchester United
Liverpool
3 - 2
03 May • 19:00
Aston Villa
Tottenham Hotspur
1 - 2
04 May • 15:00
Chelsea
Nottingham Forest
1 - 3
04 May • 20:00
Everton
Manchester City
3 - 3

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.