RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 31
AI Match Prediction
Predicted Lineups
RB Leipzig
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Union Berlin
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin
RB Leipzig come into this Gameweek 31 clash in strong domestic form, having taken 12 points from their last five Bundesliga matches with four wins and a single defeat. Union Berlin, by contrast, have collected just four points over the same span, with three losses, one draw and one win, underlining a clear recent performance gap. That is reflected in the Plus Minus model, which gives Leipzig a 68% chance of a home win, with only 10% assigned to an away victory and 23% to the draw. Recent head-to-head data is more balanced than the current form suggests. Leipzig won 2-0 at home in early 2024, but the last three meetings have seen Union take a 3-1 home win on 12 December 2025 and two 0-0 draws, including the most recent encounter in Leipzig. Union’s defensive core, likely built around Diogo Leite (GAP +1.2%) and Danilho Doekhi (GAP -0.7%), will again be central if they are to frustrate a Leipzig side that has been efficient at turning pressure into points. For the hosts, creative and ball-progressing profiles such as Xaver Schlager (GAP +2.7%) and the attack-minded David Raum (GAP +4.1%) look well placed to test a Union back line that has struggled for consistency in recent weeks. Injuries and availability RB Leipzig are without backup goalkeeper Leopold Zingerle, who is sidelined with a handgelenksverletzung and is expected to return in around two weeks and six days. Youngster Viggo Gebel is a long-term absentee with an injury that is projected to keep him out for roughly six months and three days. Ezechiel Banzuzi is dealing with a kapselverletzung am Knie and is likely to miss about one more week, while Suleman Sani is recovering from a muskelverletzung an der Hüfte and is also targeting a return in approximately two weeks and six days. For Union Berlin, David Preu is out with an unspecified knock and is expected back in roughly two weeks and four days, while goalkeeper Matheo Raab is in aufbautraining after a bänderriss an der Hand and is aiming for a return in about one month and six days.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 59 | 37 | +22 | 59 | L W W W W |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 32 | W L D L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek 31
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.