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Aston Villa vs Sunderland - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33

Premier League - Gameweek 33

Sunday, 19 Apr 2026 • 14:00

Villa Park (Aston, Birmingham)

Aston Villa

4 : 3

Sunderland

Goals

Ollie Watkins
1 : 0
2'
2'Ollie Watkins
1 : 0
9'
1 : 1
Christopher Ri...
1 : 1
Christopher Rigg9'
Ollie Watkins
2 : 1
36'
36'Ollie Watkins
2 : 1
Morgan Rogers
3 : 1
46'
46'Morgan Rogers
3 : 1
86'
3 : 2
Trai Hume
3 : 2
Trai Hume86'
87'
3 : 3
Wilson Isidor
3 : 3
Wilson Isidor87'
Tammy Abraham
4 : 3
90'
90'Tammy Abraham
4 : 3

Game Review

Aston Villa edged out Sunderland in a thrilling Premier League encounter at Villa Park, securing a 4-3 victory in a match filled with attacking flair and defensive lapses. This result was somewhat expected given Aston Villa's stronger position in the league, but Sunderland's spirited performance kept the hosts on their toes until the final whistle. The match began with Aston Villa taking an early lead through Ollie Watkins (GAP +2.5%), who found the net in the 2nd minute. Watkins doubled his tally in the 36th minute, putting Villa in a commanding position. However, Sunderland quickly responded with a goal from Christopher Rigg in the 9th minute, keeping the contest alive. In the second half, Morgan Rogers (GAP +2.8%) extended Villa's lead with a goal in the 46th minute. Sunderland, refusing to back down, mounted a late comeback with goals from Trai Hume in the 86th minute and Wilson Isidor in the 87th minute, setting up a tense finale. Ultimately, it was Tammy Abraham's 90th-minute strike that sealed the victory for Aston Villa. Tactically, Aston Villa's manager made four changes to the lineup, bringing in Emiliano Martinez, Tyrone Mings, Ezri Konsa, and Ian Maatsen, while Lucas Digne, Marco Bizot, Victor Lindelof, and Pau Torres were left out. These changes were likely a mix of tactical rotation and managing injuries, as several players were listed with fitness concerns. Sunderland, on the other hand, fielded an unchanged lineup, perhaps reflecting confidence in their squad's ability to compete despite their lower league standing. Granit Xhaka (GAP +1.1%) and Nordi Mukiele (GAP -0.3%) were notable figures in Sunderland's efforts to control the midfield and defense. The result leaves Aston Villa in a strong position as they continue their push for a top-half finish, while Sunderland will need to regroup quickly to avoid slipping further down the table. The match showcased Villa's attacking prowess, particularly through Watkins and Rogers, while Sunderland's resilience was commendable despite the defeat. Post-match reactions highlighted the thrilling nature of the game, with both sets of fans acknowledging the entertainment value. Aston Villa's manager praised the team's attacking intent, while Sunderland's head coach focused on the positives of their late fightback. Overall, this match was a testament to the unpredictable and exciting nature of the Premier League, with both teams contributing to a memorable spectacle.

Lineups

Aston Villa

PosPlayer
GK
Emiliano Martinez
DEF
Tyrone Mings
DEF
Matty Cash
DEF
Ezri Konsa
DEF
Ian Maatsen
MID
Ross Barkley
MID
Youri Tielemans
MID
John McGinn
MID
Amadou Onana
FWD
Ollie Watkins
FWD
Morgan Rogers

Substitutes

70'Lucas Dignefor Ian Maatsen
70'Emiliano Buendiafor Ross Barkley
80'Tammy Abraham
for Ollie Watkins
80'Jadon Sanchofor John McGinn

Sunderland

PosPlayer
GK
Robin Roefs
DEF
Luke O'Nien
DEF
Nordi Mukiele
DEF
Omar Alderete
DEF
Reinildo Mandava
DEF
Noah Sadiki
MID
Granit Xhaka
MID
Enzo Le Fée
MID
Habib Diarra
MID
Christopher Rigg
FWD
Brian Brobbey

Substitutes

63'Chemsdine Talbifor Christopher Rigg
63'Daniel Ballard
for Omar Alderete
63'Trai Hume
for Reinildo Mandava
84'Wilson Isidor
for Brian Brobbey
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
4Aston Villa3317794741+658
L
L
W
D
W
11Sunderland331210113640-446
W
L
W
W
L

Last Games

Aston Villa

@Nottingham Forest
1 - 1
vsWest Ham United
2 - 0
@Manchester United
1 - 3
vsChelsea
1 - 4
@Wolverhampton Wanderers
0 - 2

Sunderland

vsTottenham Hotspur
1 - 0
@Newcastle United
2 - 1
vsBrighton and Hove Albion
0 - 1
@Leeds United
1 - 0
@Bournemouth
1 - 1

Head-to-Head

19 Apr 2026
Aston Villa4 - 3Sunderland
19 Apr 2026Aston Villa
4 - 3
Sunderland
21 Sept 2025
Sunderland1 - 1Aston Villa
21 Sept 2025Sunderland
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Premier League

Gameweek 33

18 Apr • 12:30
Brentford
Fulham
0 - 0
18 Apr • 15:00
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 - 0
18 Apr • 15:00
Newcastle United
Bournemouth
1 - 2
18 Apr • 17:30
Tottenham Hotspur
Brighton and Hove Albion
2 - 2
18 Apr • 20:00
Chelsea
Manchester United
0 - 1
19 Apr • 14:00
Everton
Liverpool
1 - 2
19 Apr • 14:00
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
4 - 1
19 Apr • 14:00
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4 - 3
19 Apr • 16:30
Manchester City
Arsenal
2 - 1
20 Apr • 20:00
Crystal Palace
West Ham United

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.