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VfB Stuttgart vs SC Freiburg - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 20

Bundesliga - Gameweek 20

Sunday, 1 Feb 2026 • 15:30

VfB Stuttgart

1 : 0

SC Freiburg

Goals

Ermedin Demiro...
1 : 0
90'
90'Ermedin Demirović
1 : 0

Game Review

In a tightly contested Bundesliga clash, VfB Stuttgart edged past SC Freiburg with a narrow 1-0 victory, thanks to a late goal from substitute Ermedin Demirović. The match, held on Sunday, 1 February 2026, saw Stuttgart capitalize on their home advantage to secure all three points. The game was largely balanced, with both teams struggling to create clear-cut chances. However, Stuttgart's persistence paid off in the dying moments when Demirović, who came on as a substitute, found the back of the net in the 90th minute. This decisive goal was the culmination of sustained pressure from Stuttgart, who had been probing Freiburg's defense throughout the match. From a tactical standpoint, Stuttgart's manager made five changes to the lineup, introducing Chema Andrés, Chris Führich, Maximilian Mittelstädt, Luca Jaquez, and Ermedin Demirović. These changes seemed to inject fresh energy into the team, particularly Demirović, whose impact was immediate and decisive. On the other hand, SC Freiburg also made five substitutions, bringing in Cyriaque Irié, Lucas Höler, Vincenzo Grifo, Bruno Ogbus, and Patrick Osterhage, but they were unable to alter the course of the game. In terms of individual performances, Deniz Undav (GAP +4.0%) stood out for Stuttgart, contributing significantly to their attacking efforts. Alexander Nübel (GAP +2.6%) was solid in goal, ensuring a clean sheet with some crucial saves. For Freiburg, Matthias Ginter (GAP +2.7%) and Jan-Niklas Beste (GAP +2.6%) were notable in defense, but ultimately, they couldn't prevent the late breakthrough. This result sees VfB Stuttgart continuing their positive form, potentially climbing the Bundesliga table as they build momentum. For SC Freiburg, the defeat is a setback, and they will need to regroup quickly to avoid slipping further down the standings. The match highlighted Stuttgart's resilience and ability to grind out results, a trait that could prove vital as the season progresses.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart

PosPlayer
GK
Alexander Nübel
DEF
Josha Vagnoman
DEF
Julian Chabot
DEF
Atakan Karazor
DEF
Ramon Hendriks
MID
Nikolas Nartey
MID
Jamie Leweling
MID
Angelo Stiller
MID
Bilal El Khannous
MID
Finn Jeltsch
FWD
Deniz Undav

Substitutes

59'Maximilian Mittelstädt
for Ramon Hendriks
60'Chris Führichfor Nikolas Nartey
77'Ermedin Demirović
for Bilal El Khannous
77'Chema Andrésfor Atakan Karazor
90'Luca Jaquezfor Deniz Undav

SC Freiburg

PosPlayer
GK
Noah Atubolu
DEF
Matthias Ginter
DEF
Jan-Niklas Beste
DEF
Jordy Makengo Basambundu
DEF
Philipp Treu
DEF
Maximilian Rosenfelder
MID
Maximilian Eggestein
MID
Johan Manzambi
FWD
Igor Matanovic
FWD
Yuito Suzuki
FWD
Derry Scherhant

Substitutes

68'Cyriaque Iriéfor Jan-Niklas Beste
68'Patrick Osterhagefor Johan Manzambi
76'Vincenzo Grifofor Derry Scherhant
76'Lucas Hölerfor Yuito Suzuki
78'Bruno Ogbusfor Philipp Treu
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
4VfB Stuttgart2012353726+1139
W
W
D
W
W
7SC Freiburg207673133-227
W
L
D
W
L

Last Games

VfB Stuttgart

@Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 - 0
vsUnion Berlin
1 - 1
vsEintracht Frankfurt
3 - 2
@Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4 - 1
vs1899 Hoffenheim
0 - 0

SC Freiburg

vs1. FC Köln
2 - 1
@FC Augsburg
2 - 2
@RB Leipzig
0 - 2
vsHamburger SV
2 - 1
@VfL Wolfsburg
4 - 3

Head-to-Head

01 Feb 2026
VfB Stuttgart1 - 0SC Freiburg
01 Feb 2026VfB Stuttgart
1 - 0
SC Freiburg
13 Sept 2025
SC Freiburg3 - 1VfB Stuttgart
13 Sept 2025SC Freiburg
3 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
18 Jan 2025
VfB Stuttgart4 - 0SC Freiburg
18 Jan 2025VfB Stuttgart
4 - 0
SC Freiburg
24 Aug 2024
SC Freiburg3 - 1VfB Stuttgart
24 Aug 2024SC Freiburg
3 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
03 Feb 2024
SC Freiburg1 - 3VfB Stuttgart
03 Feb 2024SC Freiburg
1 - 3
VfB Stuttgart

Bundesliga

Gameweek 20

30 Jan • 20:30
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 0
31 Jan • 15:30
FC Augsburg
St. Pauli
2 - 1
31 Jan • 15:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 - 3
31 Jan • 15:30
1899 Hoffenheim
Union Berlin
3 - 1
31 Jan • 15:30
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2
31 Jan • 15:30
Werder Bremen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
31 Jan • 18:30
Hamburger SV
FC Bayern München
2 - 2
01 Feb • 15:30
VfB Stuttgart
SC Freiburg
1 - 0
01 Feb • 17:30
Borussia Dortmund
FC Heidenheim
3 - 2

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.