Newcastle United vs Bournemouth - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33
Premier League - Gameweek 33
Saturday, 18 Apr 2026 • 15:00
St James Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Goals
Game Review
In a surprising turn of events at St James' Park, Bournemouth secured a 2-1 victory over Newcastle United in their Premier League clash. This result was unexpected given Newcastle's recent form and home advantage, but Bournemouth's resilience and tactical execution shone through. The match began with Bournemouth taking the lead in the 32nd minute through Marcus Tavernier (GAP -1.8%), who capitalized on a defensive lapse from Newcastle. Despite Newcastle's efforts to equalize, they struggled to break down Bournemouth's organized defense. The home side eventually found a breakthrough in the 68th minute when William Daugaard Osula (GAP -7.0%) scored, leveling the score and reigniting hopes for the home fans. However, Bournemouth's Adrien Truffert (GAP +1.2%) delivered the decisive blow in the 85th minute, securing all three points for the visitors with a well-taken goal. This late strike highlighted Bournemouth's ability to capitalize on their chances, a theme throughout the match. Tactically, Newcastle made three changes to their lineup compared to their previous game, bringing in Harvey Barnes (GAP +2.0%), Jacob Ramsey (GAP -1.4%), and Anthony Elanga (GAP +0.1%). These changes were likely influenced by injuries and suspensions, as key players like Joelinton were unavailable. Bournemouth, on the other hand, maintained their starting lineup, showing confidence in their squad's consistency. Valentino Livramento (GAP +5.2%) was a standout performer for Newcastle, providing energy and creativity down the flank, while Đorđe Petrović (GAP +1.9%) played a crucial role in Bournemouth's defensive setup, keeping Newcastle's attackers at bay. Post-match reactions highlighted Bournemouth's tactical discipline and Newcastle's missed opportunities. The result leaves Newcastle needing to regroup as they aim to secure a strong finish in the league. Meanwhile, Bournemouth will be buoyed by this victory, which could be pivotal in their quest to climb the table. This result not only impacts the league standings but also serves as a reminder of the unpredictability of the Premier League, where any team can triumph on their day.
Lineups
Newcastle United
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 46' | Kieran Trippierfor Lewis Hall |
| 62' | Bruno Guimarãesfor Jacob Ramsey |
| 62' | Jacob Murphyfor Anthony Elanga |
| 74' | Dan Burnfor Valentino Livramento |
| 86' | Nick Woltemadefor Sandro Tonali |
Bournemouth
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 65' | Tyler Adamsfor Ryan Christie |
| 66' | David Brooksfor Eli Junior Kroupi |
| 78' | Ben Gannon-Doakfor Rayan |
| 89' | Alex Tóthfor Marcus Tavernier |
| 89' | Enes Unalfor Evanilson |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bournemouth | 33 | 11 | 15 | 7 | 50 | 50 | 0 | 48 | D D D W W |
| 14 | Newcastle United | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 42 | W W L L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Premier League
Gameweek 33
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.