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Bologna vs Parma - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 24

Serie A - Gameweek 24

Sunday, 8 Feb 2026 • 12:30

Bologna

0 : 1

Parma

Goals

90'
0 : 1
Christian Ordo...
0 : 1
Christian Ordoñez90'

Game Review

In a tightly contested Serie A encounter, Parma secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Bologna, thanks to a late goal by substitute Christian Ordoñez. The match, held on Sunday, 8 February 2026, saw both teams struggling to find their rhythm, with Bologna's early red card proving pivotal. The game took a dramatic turn in the 18th minute when Bologna's Tommaso Pobega (GAP -0.8%) was sent off, leaving his team to play with ten men for the majority of the match. Despite this disadvantage, Bologna managed to hold Parma at bay until the dying moments of the game. Parma's breakthrough came in the 90th minute when Christian Ordoñez, who came on as a substitute, found the back of the net. This decisive goal highlighted Parma's persistence and ability to capitalize on their numerical advantage. From a tactical perspective, Bologna's manager made five changes during the match, bringing in Riccardo Orsolini, Juan Miranda, Santiago Castro, Nadir Zortea, and Nicolò Cambiaghi to try and stabilize the team after the red card. However, the changes were not enough to secure a point. Parma's manager also made strategic substitutions, including the introduction of Ordoñez, which ultimately paid off. The team showed resilience, especially after Mariano Troilo received a red card in the 79th minute, leveling the playing field in terms of numbers. Lukasz Skorupski (GAP +4.5%) was a standout performer for Bologna, making several crucial saves to keep his team in the game. However, the lack of offensive threat from Bologna, exacerbated by Pobega's dismissal, meant they struggled to create clear-cut chances. This result sees Parma gaining crucial points as they look to climb the Serie A table. For Bologna, the defeat is a setback, and they will need to regroup quickly to avoid slipping further down the standings. The match highlighted the importance of discipline and the impact a single moment can have on the outcome of a game.

Lineups

Bologna

PosPlayer
GK
Lukasz Skorupski
DEF
Charalambos Lykogiannis
DEF
Jhon Lucumí
DEF
João Mário
DEF
Torbjørn Heggem
MID
Federico Bernardeschi
MID
Remo Freuler
MID
Lewis Ferguson
MID
Tommaso Pobega
FWD
Thijs Dallinga
FWD
Jonathan Rowe

Substitutes

46'Nadir Zorteafor João Mário
57'Santiago Castrofor Thijs Dallinga
68'Juan Mirandafor Charalambos Lykogiannis
87'Nicolò Cambiaghifor Jonathan Rowe
87'Riccardo Orsolinifor Federico Bernardeschi

Parma

PosPlayer
GK
Edoardo Corvi
DEF
Enrico Del Prato
DEF
Emanuele Valeri
DEF
Alessandro Circati
DEF
Mariano Troilo
DEF
Sascha Britschgi
MID
Oliver Sørensen
MID
Mandela Keita
MID
Gaetano Oristanio
MID
Adrián Bernabé
FWD
Mateo Pellegrino

Substitutes

54'Gabriel Espetofor Gaetano Oristanio
79'Christian Ordoñez
for Oliver Sørensen
86'Franco Carbonifor Adrián Bernabé
87'Hans Nicolussi Cavigliafor Mandela Keita
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
8Bologna2596103432+233
L
L
L
L
W
12Parma2578101831-1329
D
L
L
W
W

Last Games

Bologna

vsAC Milan
0 - 3
@Genoa
2 - 3
vsFiorentina
1 - 2
@Hellas Verona
3 - 2
@Como
1 - 1

Parma

vsJuventus
1 - 4
@Atalanta
0 - 4
vsGenoa
0 - 0
@Napoli
0 - 0
@Lecce
2 - 1

Head-to-Head

08 Feb 2026
Bologna0 - 1Parma
08 Feb 2026Bologna
0 - 1
Parma
02 Nov 2025
Parma1 - 3Bologna
02 Nov 2025Parma
1 - 3
Bologna
22 Feb 2025
Parma2 - 0Bologna
22 Feb 2025Parma
2 - 0
Bologna
06 Oct 2024
Bologna0 - 0Parma
06 Oct 2024Bologna
0 - 0
Parma

Serie A

Gameweek 24

06 Feb • 20:45
Hellas Verona
Pisa
0 - 0
07 Feb • 18:00
Genoa
Napoli
2 - 3
07 Feb • 20:45
Fiorentina
Torino
2 - 2
08 Feb • 12:30
Bologna
Parma
0 - 1
08 Feb • 15:00
Lecce
Udinese
2 - 1
08 Feb • 18:00
Sassuolo
Inter Milan
0 - 5
08 Feb • 20:45
Juventus
Lazio
2 - 2
09 Feb • 18:30
Atalanta
Cremonese
2 - 1
09 Feb • 20:45
Roma
Cagliari
2 - 0
18 Feb • 20:45
AC Milan
Como
1 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.