Nottingham Forest vs Burnley - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33
Premier League - Gameweek 33
Sunday, 19 Apr 2026 • 13:00
City Ground (West Bridgford, Nottingham)
AI Match Prediction
Predicted Lineups
Nottingham Forest
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Burnley
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game Nottingham Forest vs Burnley
Nottingham Forest come into Gameweek 33 in better recent shape than Burnley, taking 6 points from their last five league matches with a run of draws, a win and a single defeat. Burnley, by contrast, have collected just 1 point over the same span, losing four of their last five. Our Plus Minus model leans towards the hosts, giving Forest a 51% chance of victory, with a draw at 28% and Burnley at 21%. Forest’s creative threat should again centre on Morgan Gibbs-White (GAP +0.7%), while the presence of Matz Sels (GAP +2.1%) in goal has coincided with a more stable defensive platform. The recent head-to-head record is tight, with three consecutive unbeaten outings for Forest against Burnley: a 1-1 draw away in September 2025, a 2-1 away win in May 2024, and a 1-1 draw at the City Ground in September 2023. That pattern suggests small margins, and Burnley will look to experienced figures like James Ward-Prowse (GAP -1.2%) and the pace of Lyle Foster (GAP -2.0%) to turn around their poor run. Forest’s back line, anchored by Ola Aina (GAP +3.9%) and Murillo (GAP +3.9%), has generally limited opponents’ chances better than Burnley’s in recent weeks, which aligns with the model’s tilt towards a home win. Injuries and availability Burnley remain without several options. Josh Cullen is sidelined long term with a serious knee injury and is not expected back until late September 2026, while Hannibal Mejbri is out with a hamstring problem and only expected to return around early May. Jordan Beyer is still recovering from a hamstring setback after a previous long-term knee issue, and Connor Roberts continues to work back from an Achilles injury, with his club indicating he is still some way from competitive action. Zeki Amdouni is back in modified training after a long knee lay-off but is described as lacking match fitness and is unlikely to be rushed back. For Nottingham Forest, Willy Boly is recovering from a knee injury and was left out of the Premier League squad, while John is also out for the season following knee surgery. Jair is working his way back from a foot injury and is rated doubtful, and Nicolò Savona remains sidelined with a knee problem as tests continue to determine his return timeline.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nottingham Forest | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 33 | L D D W D |
| 19 | Burnley | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 20 | L L D L L |
Last Games
Premier League
Gameweek 33
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.