Newcastle United vs Bournemouth - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33
Premier League - Gameweek 33
Saturday, 18 Apr 2026 • 14:00
St James Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
AI Match Prediction
Predicted Lineups
Newcastle United
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Bournemouth
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game Newcastle United vs Bournemouth
Newcastle United come into Gameweek 33 with a mixed recent run, taking 6 points from their last 5 league matches after two defeats, two wins and then another loss. Bournemouth arrive in slightly better short-term shape, unbeaten in five with 7 points from a sequence of one win followed by four consecutive draws. The Plus Minus model edges this as a marginal home-favoured contest, giving Newcastle a 40% chance of victory, a 28% probability of a draw and a 32% likelihood of an away win. The recent head-to-head data underlines how tight this fixture has been. The sides have drawn three of their last four league meetings, including a 0-0 on the south coast in September 2025 and a 1-1 in August 2024, while Bournemouth’s standout result in this run was a 4-1 win at St James’ Park in January 2025. Newcastle will look for more control and creativity from wide areas through Kieran Trippier (GAP +0.6%) and Anthony Gordon (GAP -0.7%), while Bournemouth’s attacking structure is likely to lean on the link play and pressing of Ryan Christie (GAP +1.7%) and the movement of Evanilson (GAP +1.6%). With Bournemouth’s tendency to draw and Newcastle’s more volatile form profile, the data points towards a finely balanced game where small margins in both boxes could decide it. Injuries and availability Bournemouth remain without Lewis Cook, who is sidelined by a hamstring injury with no clear return date after a setback that has kept him out since late February, and Justin Kluivert, who continues his recovery from knee surgery and is not expected back until around 9 May 2026. Newcastle are missing key midfielder Bruno Guimarães due to a hamstring injury, with his return targeted for 25 April 2026, while Emil Krafth is still out with a longer-term knee problem and Fabian Schär is recovering from ankle surgery, with a projected return of 10 May 2026. In addition, Joelinton is unavailable through a two-match suspension after reaching 10 yellow cards, ruling him out of this fixture.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bournemouth | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 45 | D D D D W |
| 14 | Newcastle United | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 47 | -2 | 42 | L W W L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Premier League
Gameweek 33
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.