Leeds United vs Wolverhampton Wanderers - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Leeds United come into this Gameweek 33 clash at Elland Road under pressure after taking just 3 points from their last five league matches, with a run of three draws and two defeats. Despite that slump, the Plus Minus model still makes them favourites here, giving Leeds a 48% chance of victory compared to 21% for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 31% for the draw. The hosts can also draw confidence from their last meeting with Wolves, a 3-1 away win on 20/09/2025, suggesting they match up well in this fixture. Wolves arrive with a more mixed but slightly stronger recent return of 7 points from their last five league games, built on two wins, a draw and two defeats. They will look to tighten up defensively after inconsistency on the road, with Jose Sa (GAP +0.5%) key if they are to frustrate Leeds’ attack. At the other end, Dominic Calvert-Lewin (GAP +3.1%) offers Leeds a focal point in the box, while Ethan Ampadu (GAP +0.5%) is important for controlling transitions against a Wolves side that can break quickly through midfield. Injuries and availability Leeds are without Daniel James, who remains sidelined with a muscle problem and has no clear return date yet. At the back, Joe Rodon is out with an ankle injury and is not expected back until around 01/05/2026, while fellow defender Anton Stach is also targeting a similar early May return after his own ankle issue. For Wolves, Matt Doherty is carrying a muscle niggle and is rated doubtful, though there is some hope he could be available again by 18/04/2026. Goalkeeper Sam Johnstone continues to miss out with a shoulder injury and may be out until late May, and defender Yerson Mosquera is unavailable due to a two-match suspension following his 10th booking of the season.