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Chelsea vs Manchester United - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33

Premier League - Gameweek 33

Saturday, 18 Apr 2026 • 20:00

Stamford Bridge (Fulham, London)

Chelsea

0 : 1

Manchester United

Goals

43'
0 : 1
Matheus Cunha
0 : 1
Matheus Cunha43'

Game Review

In a tightly contested Premier League encounter at Stamford Bridge, Manchester United edged out Chelsea with a narrow 1-0 victory, courtesy of a first-half goal by Matheus Cunha (GAP +2.3%). This result was somewhat unexpected given Chelsea's recent form, having secured three wins in their last five matches, while Manchester United had been inconsistent. The decisive moment came in the 43rd minute when Cunha capitalized on a defensive lapse to score the only goal of the match. Chelsea's defense, which included Marc Cucurella (GAP +4.5%) and Wesley Fofana (GAP +2.7%), was otherwise solid but failed to prevent Cunha's well-timed strike. Chelsea's manager made two changes to the lineup, introducing Liam Delap and Enzo Fernández, while João Pedro and Andrey Santos were left out. These changes were part of a tactical adjustment, although specific reasons for these exclusions were not publicly detailed. On the other hand, Manchester United's head coach opted for four changes, bringing in Diogo Dalot, Bryan Mbeumo, Kobbie Mainoo, and Ayden Heaven, with Lisandro Martínez and Amad Diallo among those missing out due to suspension and international duty, respectively. Key performances from Chelsea included Pedro Neto (GAP +4.8%) and Malo Gusto (GAP +4.3%), who were instrumental in both defense and attack, though they couldn't find the back of the net. For Manchester United, Casemiro (GAP +3.9%) and Bruno Fernandes (GAP +2.5%) controlled the midfield, providing stability and creativity. Post-match reactions highlighted the tactical discipline of Manchester United, with their defense, led by Luke Shaw (GAP +3.1%), effectively neutralizing Chelsea's attacking threats. The victory propels Manchester United further up the table, enhancing their prospects for European qualification, while Chelsea will need to regroup quickly to maintain their position in the top half. Overall, this match underscored the importance of clinical finishing and defensive resilience, with Manchester United executing their game plan to perfection.

Lineups

Chelsea

PosPlayer
GK
Robert Sanchez
DEF
Marc Cucurella
DEF
Wesley Fofana
DEF
Malo Gusto
DEF
Jorrel Hato
MID
Moisés Caicedo
MID
Cole Palmer
MID
Enzo Fernández
FWD
Pedro Neto
FWD
Liam Delap
FWD
Estêvão

Substitutes

16'Alejandro Garnachofor Estêvão
81'Josh Acheampongfor Malo Gusto
81'Trevoh Chalobahfor Wesley Fofana
88'Roméo Laviafor Enzo Fernández

Manchester United

PosPlayer
GK
Senne Lammens
DEF
Luke Shaw
DEF
Diogo Dalot
DEF
Noussair Mazraoui
DEF
Ayden Heaven
MID
Casemiro
MID
Bruno Fernandes
MID
Kobbie Mainoo
FWD
Matheus Cunha
FWD
Bryan Mbeumo
FWD
Benjamin Šeško

Substitutes

80'Amad Diallofor Benjamin Šeško
81'Mason Mount
for Matheus Cunha
87'Joshua Zirkzeefor Bryan Mbeumo
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
3Manchester United33161075845+1358
L
W
D
L
W
6Chelsea33139115342+1148
W
L
L
L
L

Last Games

Chelsea

vsManchester City
0 - 3
@Everton
0 - 3
vsNewcastle United
0 - 1
@Aston Villa
4 - 1
@Arsenal
1 - 2

Manchester United

vsLeeds United
1 - 2
@Bournemouth
2 - 2
vsAston Villa
3 - 1
@Newcastle United
1 - 2
vsCrystal Palace
2 - 1

Head-to-Head

18 Apr 2026
Chelsea0 - 1Manchester United
18 Apr 2026Chelsea
0 - 1
Manchester United
20 Sept 2025
Manchester United2 - 1Chelsea
20 Sept 2025Manchester United
2 - 1
Chelsea
16 May 2025
Chelsea1 - 0Manchester United
16 May 2025Chelsea
1 - 0
Manchester United
03 Nov 2024
Manchester United1 - 1Chelsea
03 Nov 2024Manchester United
1 - 1
Chelsea
04 Apr 2024
Chelsea4 - 3Manchester United
04 Apr 2024Chelsea
4 - 3
Manchester United

Premier League

Gameweek 33

18 Apr • 12:30
Brentford
Fulham
0 - 0
18 Apr • 15:00
Leeds United
Wolverhampton Wanderers
3 - 0
18 Apr • 15:00
Newcastle United
Bournemouth
1 - 2
18 Apr • 17:30
Tottenham Hotspur
Brighton and Hove Albion
2 - 2
18 Apr • 20:00
Chelsea
Manchester United
0 - 1
19 Apr • 14:00
Everton
Liverpool
1 - 2
19 Apr • 14:00
Nottingham Forest
Burnley
4 - 1
19 Apr • 14:00
Aston Villa
Sunderland
4 - 3
19 Apr • 16:30
Manchester City
Arsenal
2 - 1
20 Apr • 20:00
Crystal Palace
West Ham United

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.