Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Augsburg - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bayer 04 Leverkusen come into this Gameweek 30 clash in clearly stronger form, taking 9 points from their last five Bundesliga matches with two wins followed by three draws. FC Augsburg, by contrast, have collected only 2 points over the same span, drawing twice before three straight defeats. The Plus Minus model strongly favours a home win at 74%, with just an 18% chance of a draw and 8% for an Augsburg upset. Recent head-to-head data underlines Leverkusen’s edge despite Augsburg’s most recent success in the fixture. Augsburg won 2-0 at home on 6 December 2025, but Leverkusen had taken the previous three league meetings: 2-0 at home in April 2025, 2-0 away in December 2024, and 2-1 at home in May 2024. With Leverkusen expected to lean on key contributors such as Alex Grimaldo (GAP +5.3%) and the influential midfielder Robert Andrich (GAP +3.6%), the hosts look well placed to reassert control. Augsburg will need a disciplined display from their defensive core, including centre-back Cédric Zesiger (GAP -0.4%) and goalkeeper Finn Dahmen (GAP +0.2%), to tilt the probabilities away from the model’s strong home bias. Injuries and availability Leverkusen are without Martin Terrier, who is sidelined with a thigh muscle injury and is not expected back for around three weeks and three days. Arthur remains in build-up training after a syndesmosis tear and is projected to be out for roughly one month and two weeks. For Augsburg, Chrislain Matsima is in build-up training following a long-term absence; although he is now completing full team training, his official return timeline is still listed at about three months and six days, so he is unlikely to feature here.