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St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 21

Bundesliga - Gameweek 21

Saturday, 7 Feb 2026 • 15:30

St. Pauli

2 : 1

VfB Stuttgart

Goals

Manolis Saliak...
1 : 0
35'
35'Manolis Saliakas
1 : 0
Danel Sinani
2 : 0
55'
55'Danel Sinani
2 : 0
90'
2 : 1
Jamie Leweling
2 : 1
Jamie Leweling90'

Game Review

In a thrilling Bundesliga encounter, St. Pauli secured a 2-1 victory over VfB Stuttgart, a result that might have surprised some given Stuttgart's stronger league position. The match, held on Saturday, 7 February 2026, saw St. Pauli take the lead in the first half and maintain their advantage despite a late surge from Stuttgart. The game began with St. Pauli asserting themselves early on. Manolis Saliakas (GAP +0.5%) opened the scoring in the 35th minute, giving the home side a crucial lead. This goal set the tone for St. Pauli, who were determined to capitalize on their home advantage. The second half saw Danel Sinani (GAP -2.0%) double the lead for St. Pauli in the 55th minute, putting them in a commanding position. VfB Stuttgart, however, did not go down without a fight. Jamie Leweling, who came on as a substitute, managed to pull one back for Stuttgart in the 90th minute, but it was too little too late for the visitors. Despite their efforts, Stuttgart could not find the equalizer, and St. Pauli held on for a vital win. Tactically, St. Pauli's manager made no changes to the starting lineup from their previous match, showing confidence in his squad's ability to deliver. In contrast, VfB Stuttgart's head coach made several changes, bringing in players like Jeremy Arévalo and Lorenz Assignon during the match, possibly to inject fresh energy and alter the game's dynamics. Key performances included Deniz Undav (GAP +4.3%), who was instrumental for Stuttgart, although his efforts were not enough to change the outcome. Alexander Nübel (GAP +2.9%) also stood out, making several crucial saves to keep Stuttgart in the game. This victory is a significant boost for St. Pauli, who have been striving to climb the Bundesliga table. For Stuttgart, the loss is a setback, but they remain in a strong position to challenge for European spots as the season progresses. The result highlights the competitive nature of the Bundesliga, where any team can triumph on their day.

Lineups

St. Pauli

PosPlayer
GK
Nikola Vasilj
DEF
Adam Dźwigała
DEF
James Sands
DEF
Karol Mets
DEF
Manolis Saliakas
DEF
Tomoya Ando
MID
Mathias Rasmussen
MID
Jackson Irvine
MID
Danel Sinani
FWD
Arkadiusz Pyrka
FWD
Martijn Kaars

Substitutes

90'Lars Ritzkafor Arkadiusz Pyrka
90'Taichi Harafor Martijn Kaars

VfB Stuttgart

PosPlayer
GK
Alexander Nübel
DEF
Josha Vagnoman
DEF
Maximilian Mittelstädt
DEF
Atakan Karazor
DEF
Ramon Hendriks
MID
Chris Führich
MID
Angelo Stiller
MID
Bilal El Khannous
MID
Finn Jeltsch
FWD
Ermedin Demirović
FWD
Deniz Undav

Substitutes

46'Jamie Leweling
for Bilal El Khannous
69'Lorenz Assignonfor Josha Vagnoman
69'Badredine Bouananifor Chris Führich
85'Jeremy Arévalofor Ermedin Demirović
85'Chema Andrésfor Atakan Karazor
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
5VfB Stuttgart2112363828+1039
W
D
W
W
L
17St. Pauli2145122035-1517
L
D
D
L
W

Last Games

St. Pauli

@FC Augsburg
1 - 2
vsRB Leipzig
1 - 1
vsHamburger SV
0 - 0
@Borussia Dortmund
2 - 3
@VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 2

VfB Stuttgart

vsSC Freiburg
1 - 0
@Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 - 0
vsUnion Berlin
1 - 1
vsEintracht Frankfurt
3 - 2
@Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4 - 1

Head-to-Head

07 Feb 2026
St. Pauli2 - 1VfB Stuttgart
07 Feb 2026St. Pauli
2 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
19 Sept 2025
VfB Stuttgart2 - 0St. Pauli
19 Sept 2025VfB Stuttgart
2 - 0
St. Pauli
03 May 2025
St. Pauli0 - 1VfB Stuttgart
03 May 2025St. Pauli
0 - 1
VfB Stuttgart
21 Dec 2024
VfB Stuttgart0 - 1St. Pauli
21 Dec 2024VfB Stuttgart
0 - 1
St. Pauli

Bundesliga

Gameweek 21

06 Feb • 20:30
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 - 1
07 Feb • 15:30
SC Freiburg
Werder Bremen
1 - 0
07 Feb • 15:30
FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
0 - 2
07 Feb • 15:30
FSV Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
2 - 0
07 Feb • 15:30
St. Pauli
VfB Stuttgart
2 - 1
07 Feb • 15:30
VfL Wolfsburg
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 2
07 Feb • 18:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 - 1
08 Feb • 15:30
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1 - 2
08 Feb • 17:30
FC Bayern München
1899 Hoffenheim
5 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.