Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 18
Goals
Game Review
In an exhilarating Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund edged out St. Pauli with a 3-2 victory at home. The match was a thrilling contest that saw Dortmund maintain their position in the upper echelons of the league table, while St. Pauli put up a commendable fight despite being the underdogs. The game kicked off with Dortmund asserting their dominance, and it was Julian Brandt (GAP +2.4%) who opened the scoring just before halftime in the 45th minute, giving the home side a crucial lead. Dortmund continued their momentum into the second half, with Karim Adeyemi (GAP +1.7%) doubling their advantage in the 54th minute. However, St. Pauli, refusing to back down, responded through James Sands (GAP -1.4%) in the 62nd minute, narrowing the deficit. St. Pauli's resilience was further rewarded when substitute Ricky-Jade Jones found the back of the net in the 72nd minute, leveling the score and setting up a tense finale. Dortmund, however, had the final say as Emre Can (GAP +1.6%) scored the decisive goal in the 90th minute, sealing a hard-fought victory for the hosts. Tactically, Dortmund's manager made several changes, bringing in Carney Chukwuemeka, Yan Couto, Maximilian Beier, Sehrou Guirassy, and Salih Özcan as substitutes to inject fresh energy into the team. St. Pauli's head coach also made strategic substitutions, introducing Tomoya Ando, Louis Oppie, and Ricky-Jade Jones, the latter making a significant impact with his goal. Gregor Kobel (GAP +4.2%) was instrumental for Dortmund, providing crucial saves that kept St. Pauli at bay, while Waldemar Anton (GAP +6.6%) was a standout in defense, ensuring Dortmund's backline remained robust against St. Pauli's attacks. This victory keeps Dortmund in the hunt for the top spots in the Bundesliga, bolstering their confidence as they aim to challenge for the title. For St. Pauli, the narrow defeat, while disappointing, showcased their potential to compete against stronger teams, providing a morale boost as they look to climb the table in the coming weeks.
Lineups
Borussia Dortmund
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 71' | Maximilian Beierfor Karim Adeyemi |
| 71' | Sehrou Guirassyfor Fábio Silva |
| 71' | Yan Coutofor Julian Ryerson |
| 83' | Salih Özcanfor Felix Nmecha |
| 83' | Carney Chukwuemekafor Julian Brandt |
St. Pauli
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 64' | Louis Oppiefor Lars Ritzka |
| 64' | Ricky-Jade Jonesfor Martijn Kaars |
| 64' | Tomoya Andofor Adam Dźwigała |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 35 | 17 | +18 | 39 | D W D W W |
| 18 | St. Pauli | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 12 | D W D L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek 18
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.