Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés - Predictions, Stats & Odds
La Liga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33
Predicted Lineups
Real Madrid
| Pos | Player |
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| DEF | |
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| MID | |
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| FWD |
Deportivo Alavés
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game Real Madrid vs Deportivo Alavés
Real Madrid come into this Gameweek 33 clash in strong league form, taking 10 points from their last five La Liga matches with three wins in a row following a draw and a defeat. Deportivo Alavés have been more inconsistent, collecting 6 points over the same span with one win, three draws and a defeat, suggesting resilience but limited cutting edge. The recent head-to-head record is heavily tilted towards Madrid: they have won the last four league meetings, including 2-1 away in December 2025 and a 5-0 home victory in May 2024, underlining a clear historical edge at this venue. With the ball, Madrid are likely to lean on the vertical running and pressing of Federico Valverde (GAP +7.3%) and the one‑v‑one threat of Vinícius Júnior (GAP +4.7%) to stretch an Alavés side that tends to defend deep. Brahim and Arda Güler offer additional creativity between the lines, while Aurelien Tchouameni anchors midfield in front of a back line featuring Antonio Rudiger. For Alavés, the expected front pairing of Lucas Boyé (GAP -0.0%) and Toni Martínez (GAP -1.9%) will need to be efficient on limited service, with Jon Guridi (GAP +0.5%) an important link in transitions. Antonio Sivera (GAP -0.6%) is likely to face sustained pressure given Madrid’s recent scoring record in this fixture, including 3-2 and 5-0 home wins in 2024. Injuries and availability Real Madrid remain without Thibaut Courtois, who is ruled out with a rectus femoris injury and is expected to be sidelined until the end of April, so he will not feature here. Rodrygo Goes is also unavailable due to a cruciate ligament and meniscus rupture, with his return not anticipated until around November–December. On the positive side, Kylian Mbappé is listed as available again after a facial contusion, and Aurélien Tchouaméni is also cleared to play following recent individual work. For Deportivo Alavés, Carlos Benavidez is a doubt for this match because of unspecified discomfort, with his status for Gameweek 33 still uncertain.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Real Madrid | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 65 | 29 | +36 | 70 | W W W L D |
| 17 | Deportivo Alavés | 31 | 8 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 46 | -11 | 33 | L D W D D |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
La Liga
Gameweek 33
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.