Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna - Predictions, Stats & Odds
La Liga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33
AI Match Prediction
Predicted Lineups
Athletic Bilbao
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Osasuna
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game Athletic Bilbao vs Osasuna
Athletic Bilbao come into this Gameweek 33 clash under pressure after a poor run of league form, taking only 3 points from their last five matches with four defeats and a single win. Despite that slump, the Plus Minus model still makes them 48% favourites for a home win, with a 29% chance of a draw and 24% for an Osasuna victory. The hosts will look to lean on the direct threat of Iñaki Williams (GAP +2.2%) and the creativity of Oihan Sancet (GAP -0.7%) to convert territorial dominance into goals. Osasuna arrive in slightly steadier shape, with 6 points from their last five league games, built on three draws, one win and one defeat. Recent head-to-head data points to a tight contest: the sides drew 1-1 in Pamplona on 3 January 2026, 0-0 in Bilbao on 30 March 2025, while Athletic edged a 2-1 away win on 21 December 2024, and they shared a 2-2 draw in Bilbao on 11 May 2024. With such a run of close encounters, Osasuna’s attacking focal point Ante Budimir (GAP +2.4%) and the influence of playmaker Aimar Oroz (GAP +2.7%) could be decisive if the visitors are to upset the model’s probabilities. Injuries and availability Athletic Bilbao have Beñat Prados listed as doubtful with a long-term anterior cruciate ligament rupture dating back to 9 September, with guidance suggesting a return only around mid-April, so his involvement remains uncertain. For Osasuna, Iker Benito is ruled out with an anterior cruciate ligament rupture sustained on 29 October and is expected to remain sidelined until around May or June, limiting their wide options from the bench.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Osasuna | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 39 | D L W D D |
| 11 | Athletic Bilbao | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 33 | 45 | -12 | 38 | L L W L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
La Liga
Gameweek 33
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.