SC Freiburg vs FC Heidenheim - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 30
AI Match Prediction
Predicted Lineups
SC Freiburg
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
FC Heidenheim
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game SC Freiburg vs FC Heidenheim
SC Freiburg come into this Gameweek 30 clash with a slight momentum edge, having taken 7 points from their last 5 Bundesliga matches with an alternating run of wins and losses before a draw last time out. FC Heidenheim have collected 5 points over the same span, starting that sequence strongly but now on a two-game losing streak. Our Plus Minus model leans clearly towards the hosts, giving Freiburg a 63% chance of victory, with a draw at 24% and an away win at just 13%. The recent head-to-head record is narrowly in Freiburg’s favour despite Heidenheim’s 2-1 home win in December 2025. Freiburg won 3-0 away in September 2024 and 1-0 at home in February 2025, while the sides also drew 1-1 in May 2024, underlining how often these games are decided by fine margins. At home, Freiburg will again look to defensive leaders like Matthias Ginter (GAP +2.0%) to stabilise a back line that has been inconsistent, while creativity from Jan-Niklas Beste (GAP +3.5%) could be key in breaking down Heidenheim. For the visitors, central figures such as Patrick Mainka (GAP -3.3%) at the back and midfielder Niklas Dorsch (GAP -5.3%) will need to raise their levels against a model-favoured opponent if Heidenheim are to upset the probabilities. Injuries and availability Freiburg are without Patrick Osterhage, who is sidelined with knee problems and is expected to be out for around one week and three days, and Max Rosenfelder, who faces a longer spell on the sidelines with a thigh muscle injury and an estimated return in about two months. Heidenheim have two notable absentees: Leart Paçarada is recovering from a cruciate ligament rupture and is projected to be out for roughly seven months, while Sirlord Conteh is dealing with a knee injury and is likely to miss around three weeks and three days.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | SC Freiburg | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 40 | D L W L W |
| 18 | FC Heidenheim | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 64 | -32 | 19 | L L D D W |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Bundesliga
Gameweek 30
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.