Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Aston Villa - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 28
Premier League - Gameweek 28
Friday, 27 Feb 2026 • 20:00
Goals
Game Review
Wolverhampton Wanderers secured a convincing 2-0 victory over Aston Villa in their Premier League clash at Molineux Stadium. This result was somewhat unexpected given Aston Villa's recent form, but Wolverhampton's tactical adjustments and key performances made the difference. The match saw Wolverhampton take control in the second half, with João Gomes (GAP +0.3%) breaking the deadlock in the 61st minute. His goal was a result of sustained pressure and a well-executed team move. Rodrigo Gomes, who came on as a substitute, sealed the victory with a goal in the 90th minute, showcasing the depth and impact of Wolverhampton's bench. Aston Villa struggled to find their rhythm despite having key players like Ollie Watkins (GAP +2.5%) and Emiliano Buendía (GAP -3.1%) on the pitch. Their inability to convert possession into meaningful chances was evident, and Wolverhampton's defense, led by Yerson Mosquera (GAP +4.6%), held firm throughout the match. In terms of lineup changes, Wolverhampton made two adjustments from their previous game, bringing in Toti Gomes and João Gomes, while Tolu Arokodare and Ladislav Krejčí were left out. Aston Villa made three changes, introducing Lucas Digne, Jadon Sancho, and Pau Torres, with Tyrone Mings, Leon Bailey, and Ian Maatsen making way. These changes were part of a strategic rotation by both managers, although specific reasons for each change were not disclosed. The Game Advantage Percentage (GAP) highlighted some standout performances, particularly from Wolverhampton's Yerson Mosquera and Aston Villa's Matty Cash (GAP +4.4%), who was active in defense but unable to prevent the goals. This victory propels Wolverhampton further up the league table, boosting their confidence as they aim for a strong finish to the season. Aston Villa, on the other hand, will need to regroup and address their attacking inefficiencies to maintain their position in the upper half of the table.
Lineups
Wolverhampton Wanderers
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 81' | Tolu Arokodarefor Jean-Ricner Bellegarde |
| 89' | Angel Gomesfor André |
| 90' | Rodrigo Gomesfor Adam Armstrong |
Aston Villa
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 60' | Ross Barkleyfor Douglas Luiz |
| 60' | Leon Baileyfor Jadon Sancho |
| 70' | Ian Maatsenfor Lucas Digne |
| 70' | Tammy Abrahamfor Emiliano Buendia |
| 86' | Alyssonfor Ollie Watkins |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aston Villa | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 30 | +8 | 51 | L D W D L |
| 20 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 29 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 51 | -31 | 13 | L D D L W |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Premier League
Gameweek 28
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.