Aston Villa vs Leeds United - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 27
Premier League - Gameweek 27
Saturday, 21 Feb 2026 • 15:00
Villa Park (Aston, Birmingham)
Goals
Game Review
Aston Villa and Leeds United played out a 1-1 draw at Villa Park in their Premier League clash on Saturday. The result was a fair reflection of a tightly contested match, with both teams having their moments but ultimately unable to secure all three points. Leeds United took the lead in the 31st minute through Anton Stach (GAP +0.4%), who capitalized on a defensive lapse to put the visitors ahead. Aston Villa, however, responded late in the game with Tammy Abraham's 88th-minute equalizer, ensuring the spoils were shared. Abraham's introduction from the bench proved pivotal, as his presence added a much-needed attacking impetus for Villa. Aston Villa's manager made two changes to the lineup from their previous match, bringing in Matty Cash (GAP +5.2%) and Leon Bailey (GAP +1.0%) while Jadon Sancho and Lamare Bogarde were left out. Leeds United's head coach opted for three changes, introducing Dominic Calvert-Lewin (GAP +3.3%), Pascal Struijk (GAP +1.2%), and Anton Stach, with Jaka Bijol, Sebastiaan Bornauw, and Lukas Nmecha making way. The changes seemed to have been tactical, as there were no reported injuries or suspensions affecting these decisions. In terms of individual performances, Matty Cash stood out for Aston Villa with his high GAP rating, indicating his significant contribution to the team's defensive solidity and attacking support. For Leeds, Morgan Rogers (GAP +4.6%) was a key figure, providing energy and creativity in the midfield. This draw leaves Aston Villa in a stable mid-table position, maintaining their recent form of resilience, while Leeds United will be slightly disappointed not to have held onto their lead, as they continue to hover around the lower half of the table. Both teams will look to build on this performance in their upcoming fixtures, with Aston Villa aiming to convert draws into wins and Leeds seeking to tighten their defense to climb up the standings.
Lineups
Aston Villa
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 61' | Ross Barkleyfor Amadou Onana |
| 61' | Jadon Sanchofor Leon Bailey |
| 75' | Tammy Abrahamfor Emiliano Buendia |
| 87' | Andrés Garcíafor Matty Cash |
| 87' | Lamare Bogardefor Douglas Luiz |
Leeds United
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 46' | Jaka Bijolfor Gabriel Gudmundsson |
| 73' | Lukas Nmechafor Brenden Aaronson |
| 83' | Sean Longstafffor Anton Stach |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aston Villa | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 38 | 28 | +10 | 51 | W L D W D |
| 15 | Leeds United | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 31 | D L W D D |
Last Games
Premier League
Gameweek 27
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.