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Napoli vs Lecce - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 29

Serie A - Gameweek 29

Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 • 18:00

Napoli

2 : 1

Lecce

Goals

3'
0 : 1
Jamil Siebert
0 : 1
Jamil Siebert3'
Rasmus Højlund
1 : 1
46'
46'Rasmus Højlund
1 : 1
Matteo Politan...
2 : 1
67'
67'Matteo Politano
2 : 1

Game Review

In a tightly contested Serie A encounter, Napoli edged past Lecce with a 2-1 victory at home. This result was largely expected given Napoli's superior position in the league standings and their recent form, which saw them entering the match with a string of positive performances. The game began with an unexpected twist as Lecce took an early lead through Jamil Siebert (GAP -3.0%) in the 3rd minute. This early goal set the tone for a competitive first half, with Lecce showing resilience and tactical discipline. However, Napoli responded strongly after the break, with Rasmus Højlund (GAP +0.1%) leveling the score just after halftime in the 46th minute. The decisive moment came in the 67th minute when Matteo Politano (GAP +3.1%) found the back of the net, securing the win for Napoli. Napoli's manager made strategic substitutions, bringing on experienced players like Kevin De Bruyne and Scott McTominay to maintain control in midfield. These changes proved effective as Napoli dominated possession and limited Lecce's chances in the latter stages of the match. From a tactical standpoint, Napoli's ability to adapt and respond to Lecce's early aggression was crucial. Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa (GAP +3.8%) played a pivotal role in midfield, breaking up play and distributing the ball efficiently. Alex Meret (GAP +4.3%) was also instrumental in goal, making key saves to keep Napoli in the game. For Lecce, despite the loss, there were positives to take from their performance. Wladimiro Falcone (GAP -0.9%) was solid in goal, making several important saves to keep his team in contention. This victory helps Napoli solidify their position in the upper echelons of the Serie A table, maintaining their push for European qualification. Lecce, on the other hand, will need to regroup and focus on their upcoming fixtures to avoid slipping further down the standings.

Lineups

Napoli

PosPlayer
GK
Alex Meret
DEF
Leonardo Spinazzola
DEF
Mathías Olivera
DEF
Alessandro Buongiorno
DEF
Sam Beukema
MID
Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
MID
Eljif Elmas
MID
Billy Gilmour
FWD
Matteo Politano
FWD
Rasmus Højlund
FWD
Alisson de Almeida Santos

Substitutes

46'Kevin De Bruynefor Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
46'Scott McTominayfor Eljif Elmas
72'Miguel Gutiérrezfor Matteo Politano
72'Pasquale Mazzocchifor Leonardo Spinazzola
85'Giovanefor Alisson de Almeida Santos

Lecce

PosPlayer
GK
Wladimiro Falcone
DEF
Antonino Gallo
DEF
Danilo Veiga
DEF
Jamil Siebert
DEF
Tiago Gabriel
MID
Lassana Coulibaly
MID
Ylber Ramadani
MID
Oumar Ngom
FWD
Lameck Banda
FWD
Santiago Pierotti
FWD
Nikola Štulić

Substitutes

46'Omri Gandelmanfor Lassana Coulibaly
59'Walid Cheddirafor Nikola Štulić
79'Corrie Ndabafor Antonino Gallo
79'Konan N’Drifor Santiago Pierotti
85'Sadik Fofanafor Oumar Ngom
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
3Napoli2918564530+1559
D
L
W
W
W
17Lecce2976162139-1827
W
L
L
W
L

Last Games

Napoli

vsTorino
2 - 1
@Hellas Verona
2 - 1
@Atalanta
1 - 2
vsRoma
2 - 2
@Genoa
3 - 2

Lecce

vsCremonese
2 - 1
@Como
1 - 3
vsInter Milan
0 - 2
@Cagliari
2 - 0
vsUdinese
2 - 1

Head-to-Head

14 Mar 2026
Napoli2 - 1Lecce
14 Mar 2026Napoli
2 - 1
Lecce
28 Oct 2025
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
28 Oct 2025Lecce
0 - 1
Napoli
03 May 2025
Lecce0 - 1Napoli
03 May 2025Lecce
0 - 1
Napoli
26 Oct 2024
Napoli1 - 0Lecce
26 Oct 2024Napoli
1 - 0
Lecce
26 May 2024
Napoli0 - 0Lecce
26 May 2024Napoli
0 - 0
Lecce

Serie A

Gameweek 29

13 Mar • 20:45
Torino
Parma
4 - 1
14 Mar • 15:00
Inter Milan
Atalanta
1 - 1
14 Mar • 18:00
Napoli
Lecce
2 - 1
14 Mar • 20:45
Udinese
Juventus
0 - 1
15 Mar • 12:30
Hellas Verona
Genoa
0 - 2
15 Mar • 15:00
Pisa
Cagliari
3 - 1
15 Mar • 15:00
Sassuolo
Bologna
0 - 1
15 Mar • 18:00
Como
Roma
2 - 1
15 Mar • 20:45
Lazio
AC Milan
1 - 0
16 Mar • 20:45
Cremonese
Fiorentina
1 - 4

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.