Real Oviedo vs Villarreal - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Real Oviedo arrive in Gameweek 33 in strong short-term form, taking 10 points from their last five league matches with three wins, one draw and a single defeat. That run includes multiple solid defensive displays, where the back line built around Dani Calvo (GAP -0.0%) has generally kept games tight. However, the Plus Minus model still rates them as clear underdogs here, giving Oviedo just a 21% chance of a home win, with a draw at 27%. Villarreal also come into this fixture with 10 points from their last five league outings, but with a slightly more volatile pattern of three wins, one loss and one draw. They won the reverse meeting 2-0 on 15 August 2025, underlining the gap in attacking punch between the sides. The model reflects that edge, assigning Villarreal a 51% probability of taking all three points. Wide threat from Alfonso Pedraza (GAP +2.2%) and the creativity of Nicolas Pépé (GAP +2.5%) could be key in stretching an Oviedo team that often relies on transitions through Ilyas Chaira (GAP -1.6%). Injuries and availability Real Oviedo have three notable doubts: Alex Forés is listed as doubtful with unspecified discomfort since early April, while Leander Dendoncker has also been carrying unspecified issues since early March and may not be risked. Luka Ilic is another doubt due to an Achilles tendon tendinitis problem that has sidelined him since mid-March. For Villarreal, Logan Costa is ruled out with a confirmed knee injury and will miss this game, while Juan Foyth remains a long-term absentee after an Achilles tendon rupture, with his return not expected until around September. Pau Cabanes is also unavailable as he continues recovery from an anterior cruciate ligament rupture. On the positive side for Villarreal, Thomas Teye is now available again after overcoming a quadriceps injury and is listed as fit for Gameweek 33.