1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Borussia Dortmund arrive in Sinsheim as slight favourites according to the Plus Minus model, which gives them a 40% chance of victory compared to 34% for 1899 Hoffenheim and 27% for the draw. That edge reflects recent form: Dortmund have taken 12 points from their last five Bundesliga matches with four wins and one defeat, while Hoffenheim have collected just 5 points over the same span, with one win, two draws and two losses. The recent head-to-head data underlines how volatile this matchup can be. Dortmund won the most recent meeting 2-0 at home on 7 December 2025 and also edged a 3-2 thriller in Sinsheim on 26 April 2025, but Hoffenheim claimed a 3-2 away win in Dortmund on 25 February 2024, with a 1-1 draw in between. Hoffenheim will again look to the creativity and finishing of Andrej Kramarić (GAP +1.4%) to test a Dortmund back line likely anchored by Nico Schlotterbeck (GAP +2.4%). At the other end, Dortmund’s attacking threat is boosted by Jobe Bellingham (GAP +2.8%), whose recent impact between the lines has added another dimension to their possession play. Injuries and availability Dortmund have several notable absences. Emre Can is sidelined with a suspected cruciate ligament injury and is expected to be out for around 1 month and 2 weeks, removing a key option in central midfield. Felix Nmecha, listed in the expected lineup, is also dealing with an injury and is likely to miss approximately 3 weeks and 3 days, which could force adjustments in Dortmund’s midfield structure. In addition, Mussa Kaba remains in rebuild training and is not expected back for about 1 month and 1 week. Hoffenheim also have important players unavailable. Valentin Gendrey is out with an ankle injury (Sprunggelenksverletzung) and is projected to return in roughly 1 month and 4 days, affecting their defensive depth. Adam Hložek is in rebuild training after a calf muscle-tendon injury and is facing a long spell on the sidelines, with an estimated 3 months and 5 days until return. Koki Machida is recovering from a cruciate ligament rupture and remains a long-term absentee, with a projected return in about 7 months and 3 weeks.