Chelsea vs Burnley - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 27
Goals
Game Review
In a tightly contested Premier League match at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea were held to a 1-1 draw by Burnley. The result was somewhat unexpected given Chelsea's home advantage and their recent form, but Burnley showed resilience to snatch a point late in the game. Chelsea started brightly, taking the lead in the 4th minute through João Pedro (GAP +3.5%), who capitalized on a defensive lapse from Burnley. The early goal set the tone for Chelsea to dominate possession, but they struggled to convert their control into further goals. The match took a significant turn in the 72nd minute when Chelsea's Wesley Fofana (GAP +3.0%) received a red card, leaving the home side to play the remainder of the game with ten men. This disciplinary setback gave Burnley the impetus to push forward, and they were rewarded in the 90th minute when Zian Flemming (GAP -0.1%) scored the equalizer, ensuring the visitors left with a share of the spoils. Chelsea's lineup saw three changes from their previous match, with Reece James (GAP +1.9%), Pedro Neto (GAP +5.4%), and Wesley Fofana coming into the starting eleven. These changes were part of a rotation strategy by the Chelsea manager, possibly influenced by injuries and suspensions, as key players like Mykhailo Mudryk were unavailable due to suspension. Burnley, on the other hand, fielded an unchanged lineup, reflecting their manager's confidence in the squad's ability to compete against a top side like Chelsea. Post-match reactions highlighted Chelsea's frustration at not securing all three points, especially after leading for most of the game. The draw leaves Chelsea in a precarious position as they aim to solidify their standing in the league, while Burnley will be buoyed by their ability to claim a point away from home. This result sees Chelsea needing to regroup and address their defensive frailties, particularly in maintaining discipline, as they look to bounce back in their next fixture. For Burnley, the draw is a positive step in their quest to climb the league table, showcasing their ability to compete against higher-ranked teams.
Lineups
Chelsea
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 75' | Tosin Adarabioyofor Cole Palmer |
| 80' | Liam Delapfor João Pedro |
| 80' | Jorrel Hatofor Malo Gusto |
| 88' | Mamadou Sarrfor Pedro Neto |
| 89' | Josh Acheampongfor Reece James |
Burnley
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 46' | Lucas Piresfor Kyle Walker |
| 57' | James Ward-Prowsefor Lesley Ugochukwu |
| 78' | Jacob Bruun Larsenfor Josh Laurent |
| 83' | Loum Tchaounafor Bashir Humphreys |
| 84' | Ashley Barnesfor Jaidon Anthony |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Chelsea | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 48 | 31 | +17 | 45 | W W W D D |
| 19 | Burnley | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 19 | D L L W D |
Last Games
Premier League
Gameweek 27
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.