Arsenal vs Manchester United - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 23
Goals
Game Review
In a thrilling Premier League encounter at the Emirates Stadium, Manchester United edged out Arsenal with a 3-2 victory. This result was somewhat unexpected given Arsenal's strong home form and Manchester United's recent inconsistencies. However, the Red Devils showcased resilience and tactical acumen to secure the win. The match began with Arsenal taking the lead in the 29th minute through Lisandro Martínez (GAP +1.9%), who capitalized on a defensive lapse. Manchester United responded swiftly, with Bryan Mbeumo leveling the score in the 37th minute. The second half saw Patrick Dorgu (GAP -1.6%) put United ahead in the 50th minute, a lead they maintained until the closing stages. Arsenal's Mikel Merino brought the game back to parity in the 84th minute, but Manchester United's Matheus Cunha sealed the victory with a decisive goal in the 87th minute. This late drama highlighted United's ability to capitalize on key moments, a trait that has been inconsistent in their recent performances. Arsenal made four changes to their lineup, introducing Leandro Trossard (GAP +3.6%), Gabriel Jesus (GAP +2.7%), Bukayo Saka (GAP +5.2%), and Piero Hincapié, while Ben White, Gabriel Martinelli, Noni Madueke, and Viktor Gyökeres were left out. These changes were part of a rotation strategy, possibly influenced by minor injuries and tactical adjustments. Manchester United, on the other hand, fielded an unchanged lineup, a decision that paid dividends as they managed to secure a crucial away win. David Raya (GAP +5.5%) was notable for Arsenal, making several key saves to keep the game competitive, while Gabriel Magalhães (GAP +6.5%) and William Saliba (GAP +6.2%) were solid at the back despite the defeat. For Manchester United, Luke Shaw (GAP +3.5%) and Casemiro (GAP +3.2%) were instrumental in maintaining defensive stability and controlling the midfield. This victory propels Manchester United up the table, providing a much-needed boost in confidence and momentum. For Arsenal, the defeat is a setback in their pursuit of a top-four finish, but their performance showed promise, particularly in their attacking play. Both teams will look to build on this match as they continue their Premier League campaigns.
Lineups
Arsenal
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 58' | Mikel Merinofor Martin Ødegaard |
| 58' | Viktor Gyökeresfor Gabriel Jesus |
| 58' | Eberechi Ezefor Martín Zubimendi |
| 58' | Ben Whitefor Piero Hincapié |
| 75' | Noni Maduekefor Leandro Trossard |
Manchester United
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 69' | Matheus Cunhafor Bryan Mbeumo |
| 81' | Benjamin Šeškofor Patrick Dorgu |
| 88' | Noussair Mazraouifor Amad Diallo |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 17 | +25 | 50 | W W D D L |
| 4 | Manchester United | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 41 | 34 | +7 | 38 | D D D W W |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Premier League
Gameweek 23
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.