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AC Milan vs Atalanta - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 36

Serie A - Gameweek 36

Sunday, 10 May 2026 • 20:45

AC Milan

2 : 3

Atalanta

Goals

7'
0 : 1
Éderson
0 : 1
Éderson7'
29'
0 : 2
Davide Zappaco...
0 : 2
Davide Zappacosta29'
52'
0 : 3
Giacomo Raspad...
0 : 3
Giacomo Raspadori52'
Strahinja Pavl...
1 : 3
88'
88'Strahinja Pavlović
1 : 3
Christopher Nk...
2 : 3
90'
90'Christopher Nkunku
2 : 3

Game Review

In a thrilling Serie A encounter, Atalanta edged out AC Milan with a 3-2 victory at the San Siro. This result was somewhat unexpected given AC Milan's strong home form, but Atalanta's tactical execution and clinical finishing made the difference. The match started with Atalanta taking an early lead through Éderson in the 7th minute, setting the tone for a high-paced game. Davide Zappacosta doubled the visitors' advantage in the 29th minute, capitalizing on a defensive lapse from Milan. AC Milan struggled to find their rhythm in the first half, unable to break down Atalanta's organized defense. After the break, Atalanta extended their lead further when Giacomo Raspadori found the net in the 52nd minute. This goal seemed to galvanize AC Milan, who responded with a late surge. Strahinja Pavlović pulled one back in the 88th minute, and Christopher Nkunku added another in the 90th minute, but it was too little too late for the Rossoneri. Tactically, Atalanta's head coach made effective use of his substitutes, with Raoul Bellanova and Mario Pasalic coming on to provide fresh legs and maintain their defensive solidity. AC Milan's manager also made several changes, introducing Christopher Nkunku, Youssouf Fofana, and others to inject energy into the team, but the early deficit proved insurmountable. This victory propels Atalanta further up the Serie A table, enhancing their chances of securing a European spot. Meanwhile, AC Milan will need to regroup quickly as they aim to solidify their position in the top four. The result highlights Atalanta's resilience and ability to perform under pressure, while AC Milan will be reflecting on their slow start and defensive vulnerabilities.

Lineups

AC Milan

PosPlayer
GK
Mike Maignan
DEF
Matteo Gabbia
DEF
Strahinja Pavlović
DEF
Koni De Winter
DEF
Davide Bartesaghi
MID
Ruben Loftus-Cheek
MID
Adrien Rabiot
MID
Samuele Ricci
FWD
Rafael Leão
FWD
Alexis Saelemaekers
FWD
Santiago Giménez

Substitutes

46'Christopher Nkunku
for Ruben Loftus-Cheek
58'Niclas Fullkrugfor Santiago Giménez
58'Zachary Athekamefor Koni De Winter
58'Youssouf Fofanafor Rafael Leão
80'Pervis Estupiñán
for Davide Bartesaghi

Atalanta

PosPlayer
GK
Marco Carnesecchi
DEF
Davide Zappacosta
DEF
Sead Kolasinac
DEF
Isak Hien
DEF
Giorgio Scalvini
MID
Marten de Roon
MID
Charles De Ketelaere
MID
Nicola Zalewski
MID
Éderson
FWD
Giacomo Raspadori
FWD
Nikola Krstović

Substitutes

48'Odilon Kossounoufor Giorgio Scalvini
55'Raoul Bellanovafor Davide Zappacosta
63'Honest Ahanorfor Odilon Kossounou
63'Mario Pasalicfor Charles De Ketelaere
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
5AC Milan36191075032+1867
L
W
D
L
L
7Atalanta36151384934+1558
L
D
L
D
W

Last Games

AC Milan

@Sassuolo
0 - 2
vsJuventus
0 - 0
@Hellas Verona
1 - 0
vsUdinese
0 - 3
@Napoli
0 - 1

Atalanta

vsGenoa
0 - 0
@Cagliari
2 - 3
@Roma
1 - 1
vsJuventus
0 - 1
@Lecce
3 - 0

Head-to-Head

10 May 2026
AC Milan2 - 3Atalanta
10 May 2026AC Milan
2 - 3
Atalanta
28 Oct 2025
Atalanta1 - 1AC Milan
28 Oct 2025Atalanta
1 - 1
AC Milan
20 Apr 2025
AC Milan0 - 1Atalanta
20 Apr 2025AC Milan
0 - 1
Atalanta
06 Dec 2024
Atalanta2 - 1AC Milan
06 Dec 2024Atalanta
2 - 1
AC Milan
25 Feb 2024
AC Milan1 - 1Atalanta
25 Feb 2024AC Milan
1 - 1
Atalanta

Serie A

Gameweek 36

08 May • 20:45
Torino
Sassuolo
2 - 1
09 May • 15:00
Cagliari
Udinese
0 - 2
09 May • 18:00
Lazio
Inter Milan
0 - 3
09 May • 20:45
Lecce
Juventus
0 - 1
10 May • 12:30
Hellas Verona
Como
0 - 1
10 May • 15:00
Cremonese
Pisa
3 - 0
10 May • 15:00
Fiorentina
Genoa
0 - 0
10 May • 18:00
Parma
Roma
2 - 3
10 May • 20:45
AC Milan
Atalanta
2 - 3
11 May • 20:45
Napoli
Bologna
2 - 3

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.