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Arsenal vs Newcastle United - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 34

Premier League - Gameweek 34

Saturday, 25 Apr 2026 • 17:30

Emirates Stadium (Holloway, London, England)

Arsenal

1 : 0

Newcastle United

Goals

Eberechi Eze
1 : 0
9'
9'Eberechi Eze
1 : 0

Game Review

Arsenal secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Newcastle United in their Premier League clash at the Emirates Stadium, thanks to an early goal from Eberechi Eze (GAP +2.3%). This result was largely expected given Arsenal's recent form and their position in the league table, where they have been consistently challenging for a top-four finish. The match's decisive moment came early, with Eze finding the back of the net in the 9th minute. Arsenal's ability to maintain this lead throughout the match was a testament to their defensive solidity, particularly highlighted by standout performances from Gabriel Magalhães (GAP +6.5%) and William Saliba (GAP +6.5%). Newcastle, despite their efforts, struggled to break down Arsenal's organized defense. Tactically, Arsenal's manager made a single change from their previous lineup, bringing in Ben White (GAP +0.8%) for Cristhian Mosquera. This adjustment seemed to bolster their defensive setup, which was crucial in maintaining their clean sheet. Newcastle United, on the other hand, made five changes, including the return of Jacob Murphy (GAP +1.4%) and Dan Burn (GAP +3.0%). These changes were likely influenced by a mix of tactical rotation and managing injuries, as several key players were either doubtful or injured. In terms of individual performances, Declan Rice (GAP +4.5%) and Martin Ødegaard (GAP +4.4%) were instrumental in controlling the midfield, providing the necessary support to both the defense and attack. Kai Havertz (GAP +4.2%) also contributed significantly to Arsenal's forward play, although he couldn't add to the scoreline. This victory keeps Arsenal firmly in the hunt for a Champions League spot, while Newcastle's defeat leaves them needing to regroup as they aim to secure a mid-table finish. The result reflects Arsenal's strong home form and their ability to grind out results even when not at their attacking best. Post-match reactions highlighted Arsenal's resilience and the importance of Eze's early goal. The home team's manager praised the squad's defensive discipline, which was crucial in securing all three points. Overall, this match was a testament to Arsenal's tactical discipline and ability to capitalize on early opportunities, setting them up well for the final stretch of the season.

Lineups

Arsenal

PosPlayer
GK
David Raya
DEF
Ben White
DEF
Gabriel Magalhães
DEF
William Saliba
DEF
Piero Hincapié
MID
Martin Ødegaard
MID
Declan Rice
MID
Eberechi Eze
MID
Martín Zubimendi
FWD
Kai Havertz
FWD
Noni Madueke

Substitutes

34'Viktor Gyökeresfor Kai Havertz
53'Gabriel Martinelli
for Eberechi Eze
81'Bukayo Sakafor Noni Madueke
81'Myles Lewis-Skellyfor Martín Zubimendi

Newcastle United

PosPlayer
GK
Nick Pope
DEF
Dan Burn
DEF
Sven Botman
DEF
Malick Thiaw
MID
Sandro Tonali
MID
Joe Willock
MID
Bruno Guimarães
MID
Jacob Ramsey
MID
Lewis Miley
FWD
Jacob Murphy
FWD
William Daugaard Osula

Substitutes

66'Yoane Wissafor William Daugaard Osula
66'Harvey Barnesfor Jacob Murphy
75'Nick Woltemadefor Bruno Guimarães
86'Anthony Elangafor Joe Willock
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1Arsenal3422756426+3873
W
W
L
L
W
14Newcastle United34126164650-442
W
L
L
L
L

Last Games

Arsenal

@Manchester City
1 - 2
vsBournemouth
1 - 2
vsEverton
2 - 0
@Brighton and Hove Albion
1 - 0
vsChelsea
2 - 1

Newcastle United

vsBournemouth
1 - 2
@Crystal Palace
1 - 2
vsSunderland
1 - 2
@Chelsea
1 - 0
vsManchester United
2 - 1

Head-to-Head

25 Apr 2026
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle United
25 Apr 2026Arsenal
1 - 0
Newcastle United
28 Sept 2025
Newcastle United1 - 2Arsenal
28 Sept 2025Newcastle United
1 - 2
Arsenal
18 May 2025
Arsenal1 - 0Newcastle United
18 May 2025Arsenal
1 - 0
Newcastle United
02 Nov 2024
Newcastle United1 - 0Arsenal
02 Nov 2024Newcastle United
1 - 0
Arsenal
24 Feb 2024
Arsenal4 - 1Newcastle United
24 Feb 2024Arsenal
4 - 1
Newcastle United

Premier League

Gameweek 34

21 Apr • 20:00
Brighton and Hove Albion
Chelsea
3 - 0
22 Apr • 20:00
Bournemouth
Leeds United
2 - 2
22 Apr • 20:00
Burnley
Manchester City
0 - 1
24 Apr • 20:00
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
0 - 5
25 Apr • 12:30
Fulham
Aston Villa
1 - 0
25 Apr • 15:00
West Ham United
Everton
2 - 1
25 Apr • 15:00
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Tottenham Hotspur
0 - 1
25 Apr • 15:00
Liverpool
Crystal Palace
3 - 1
25 Apr • 17:30
Arsenal
Newcastle United
1 - 0
27 Apr • 20:00
Manchester United
Brentford
2 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.