Lecce vs Fiorentina - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 33
AI Match Prediction
Predicted Lineups
Lecce
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Fiorentina
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Preview for the game Lecce vs Fiorentina
Lecce come into this Serie A Gameweek 33 clash under pressure after a poor run of four straight defeats before finally taking three points in their most recent outing, giving them just 3 points from the last 5 league games. Fiorentina arrive in far stronger form, collecting 11 points over the same span with three wins and two draws, underlining why the Plus Minus model makes them 52% favourites for an away win, compared to 18% for a Lecce victory and 30% for the draw. The recent head-to-head record has been volatile and high-impact. Fiorentina hammered Lecce 6-0 away on 20 October 2024, but Lecce have also shown they can edge tight contests, winning 3-2 at home on 2 February 2024 and 1-0 away on 2 November 2025. Fiorentina’s expected attacking structure, built around Albert Guðmundsson (GAP +2.5%) and wide threat from Robin Gosens (GAP +3.0%), looks well placed to test a Lecce side that has struggled defensively in this recent losing spell. For Lecce, creativity and transition play from Lameck Banda (GAP -1.4%) and the work rate of Nikola Štulić (GAP -1.4%) will be key if they are to repeat those narrow head-to-head wins rather than a repeat of the 6-0 collapse. Injuries and availability Fiorentina have several absentees to manage. Fortini is sidelined with a physical problem and is listed as injured with his return date still to be evaluated. Moise Kean is also out due to a tibia issue, again with no clear return date, while Lamptey remains unavailable with an anterior cruciate ligament laceration, although he is tentatively expected back in April. Fabiano Parisi is another concern, carrying a physical problem and also rated as a doubt with his return timing yet to be defined. Lecce likewise have important fitness issues. Berisha is ruled out for the rest of the season with a rectus femoris lesion, and Gaspar is also out for the season due to collateral and cruciate ligament damage. Camarda is recovering from a shoulder problem and is only expected to return sometime in April, while Sottil is dealing with lumbosciatica and is targeting a mid-April comeback, making his involvement here uncertain.
League Table before the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fiorentina | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 35 | D W D W W |
| 18 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 45 | -24 | 27 | W L L L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Serie A
Gameweek 33
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.