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Real Madrid vs Elche - Predictions, Stats & Odds

La Liga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 28

La Liga - Gameweek 28

Saturday, 14 Mar 2026 • 21:00

Real Madrid

4 : 1

Elche

Goals

Antonio Rudige...
1 : 0
39'
39'Antonio Rudiger
1 : 0
Federico Valve...
2 : 0
44'
44'Federico Valverde
2 : 0
Dean Huijsen
3 : 0
66'
66'Dean Huijsen
3 : 0
85'
3 : 1
Manuel Ángel
3 : 1
Manuel Ángel85'
Arda Güler
4 : 1
89'
89'Arda Güler
4 : 1

Game Review

Real Madrid secured a commanding 4-1 victory over Elche in their La Liga clash on Saturday, 14 March 2026. The match, held at the Santiago Bernabéu, saw the home side dominate proceedings, reflecting their superior form and league position. Real Madrid entered the game as clear favorites, and they lived up to expectations with a comprehensive performance. The game began with Real Madrid asserting their dominance, and it was Antonio Rudiger (GAP +6.6%) who opened the scoring in the 39th minute with a well-taken goal. Just before halftime, Federico Valverde (GAP +7.3%) doubled the lead, giving Real Madrid a comfortable cushion going into the break. In the second half, Real Madrid continued to control the game, and Dean Huijsen (GAP +5.2%) added a third goal in the 66th minute, effectively sealing the victory. Elche managed to pull one back through Manuel Ángel in the 85th minute, but any hopes of a comeback were dashed when Arda Güler scored Real Madrid's fourth goal in the 89th minute. Tactically, Real Madrid's midfield, led by Valverde and Aurelien Tchouameni (GAP +5.0%), was instrumental in controlling the tempo and breaking down Elche's defenses. The defensive solidity provided by Thibaut Courtois (GAP +6.7%) and Rudiger ensured that Elche's attacking threats were largely neutralized. Both teams made several changes to their lineups. Real Madrid's manager opted for a fresh approach, bringing in Diego Aguado, Arda Güler, Manuel Ángel, Gonzalo García, Daniel Yáñez, and César Palacios as substitutes. Elche also rotated their squad, introducing Pedro Bigas, Josan, Rafa Mir, Marc Aguado, Grady Diangana, and Adrià Pedrosa during the match. This victory solidifies Real Madrid's position at the top of the La Liga table, maintaining their momentum as they chase the title. For Elche, the defeat leaves them struggling in the lower half of the table, needing to regroup and find form in the upcoming fixtures.

Lineups

Real Madrid

PosPlayer
GK
Thibaut Courtois
DEF
Daniel Carvajal
DEF
Antonio Rudiger
DEF
Fran García
DEF
Dean Huijsen
MID
Brahim
MID
Federico Valverde
MID
Aurelien Tchouameni
MID
Eduardo Camavinga
MID
Thiago Pitarch
FWD
Vinícius Júnior

Substitutes

58'Daniel Yáñezfor Aurelien Tchouameni
58'Arda Güler
for Vinícius Júnior
58'Gonzalo Garcíafor Federico Valverde
61'Diego Aguadofor Antonio Rudiger
63'Manuel Ángel
for Brahim
64'César Palaciosfor Thiago Pitarch

Elche

PosPlayer
GK
Matías Dituro
DEF
Víctor Chust
DEF
David Affengruber
DEF
Léo Pétrot
DEF
Buba Sangaré
MID
Aleix Febas
MID
Federico Redondo
MID
Martim Carvalho Neto
FWD
André Silva
FWD
Germán Valera
FWD
Lucas Cepeda

Substitutes

23'Adrià Pedrosafor Buba Sangaré
64'Josanfor Léo Pétrot
64'Marc Aguadofor Federico Redondo
64'Rafa Mir
for Lucas Cepeda
74'Grady Dianganafor Martim Carvalho Neto
74'Pedro Bigasfor David Affengruber
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
2Real Madrid2821346024+3666
W
L
L
W
W
18Elche28511123645-926
D
L
D
L
L

Last Games

Real Madrid

@Celta Vigo
2 - 1
vsGetafe
0 - 1
@Osasuna
1 - 2
vsReal Sociedad
4 - 1
@Valencia
2 - 0

Elche

@Villarreal
1 - 2
vsEspanyol
2 - 2
@Athletic Bilbao
1 - 2
vsOsasuna
0 - 0
@Real Sociedad
1 - 3

Head-to-Head

14 Mar 2026
Real Madrid4 - 1Elche
14 Mar 2026Real Madrid
4 - 1
Elche
23 Nov 2025
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
23 Nov 2025Elche
2 - 2
Real Madrid

La Liga

Gameweek 28

13 Mar • 21:00
Deportivo Alavés
Villarreal
1 - 1
14 Mar • 14:00
Girona
Athletic Bilbao
3 - 0
14 Mar • 16:15
Atlético Madrid
Getafe
1 - 0
14 Mar • 18:30
Real Oviedo
Valencia
1 - 0
14 Mar • 21:00
Real Madrid
Elche
4 - 1
15 Mar • 14:00
Mallorca
Espanyol
2 - 1
15 Mar • 14:00
Barcelona
Sevilla
5 - 2
15 Mar • 14:00
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
1 - 1
15 Mar • 14:00
Real Sociedad
Osasuna
3 - 1
16 Mar • 21:00
Rayo Vallecano
Levante
1 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.