St. Pauli vs RB Leipzig - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 16
Goals
Game Review
In a tightly contested Bundesliga match, St. Pauli and RB Leipzig shared the spoils with a 1-1 draw. The result was somewhat unexpected given Leipzig's higher standing in the league, but St. Pauli's resilience at home proved decisive. The game saw its first breakthrough in the 66th minute when Yan Diomande (GAP +3.3%) put RB Leipzig ahead. His goal came after a period of sustained pressure from the visitors, who were looking to capitalize on their superior league position. However, St. Pauli, known for their fighting spirit, responded in dramatic fashion. In the 90th minute, substitute Martijn Kaars found the back of the net, ensuring the home side earned a valuable point. Tactically, RB Leipzig's approach was to dominate possession and utilize the width provided by players like David Raum (GAP +5.6%), who was instrumental in creating chances from the left flank. Meanwhile, St. Pauli focused on a compact defensive setup, looking to hit on the counter. The introduction of Martijn Kaars late in the game proved to be a masterstroke, as his fresh legs and attacking impetus helped turn the tide. In terms of lineup changes, both teams made several substitutions during the match. St. Pauli's manager opted for a more dynamic approach in the latter stages, bringing on Mathias Rasmussen, Jackson Irvine, Mathias Pereira-Lage, and Abdoulie Ceesay alongside Kaars. RB Leipzig's head coach introduced Ezechiel Banzuzi, Tidiam Gomis, Conrad Harder, and Benjamin Henrichs to maintain their attacking threat. The draw leaves St. Pauli in a position to build on this momentum, as they continue to fight for every point in the Bundesliga. For RB Leipzig, the result is a slight setback in their pursuit of the top spots, but they remain well-positioned in the league standings. Post-match reactions highlighted the resilience of St. Pauli, with fans and pundits alike praising their never-say-die attitude. RB Leipzig, while disappointed not to secure all three points, will look to bounce back in their next fixture.
Lineups
St. Pauli
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 67' | Martijn Kaarsfor Ricky-Jade Jones |
| 76' | Mathias Pereira-Lagefor Danel Sinani |
| 76' | Jackson Irvinefor James Sands |
| 76' | Mathias Rasmussenfor Joel Fujita |
| 88' | Abdoulie Ceesayfor Manolis Saliakas |
RB Leipzig
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 64' | Conrad Harderfor Rômulo Cardoso da Cruz |
| 85' | Ezechiel Banzuzifor Christoph Baumgartner |
| 85' | Tidiam Gomisfor Antonio Nusa |
| 90' | Benjamin Henrichsfor Yan Diomande |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 37 | 25 | +12 | 36 | L W L W D |
| 17 | St. Pauli | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 14 | D L L D D |
Last Games
Bundesliga
Gameweek 16
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.