Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Sunderland arrive in Gameweek 34 in strong form, taking 10 points from their last five league matches with three wins in that run, compared to Nottingham Forest’s six points from a sequence featuring just one victory. The Plus Minus model leans clearly towards the hosts, giving Sunderland a 50% chance of victory, with the draw at 27% and Forest at 23%. Sunderland also have the psychological edge from the reverse fixture, having won 1–0 away at the City Ground on 27 September 2025. At the Stadium of Light, Sunderland’s midfield structure built around Granit Xhaka (GAP +1.1%) and Enzo Le Fée (GAP +0.2%) should be key in controlling possession against a Forest side that has drawn three of its last five. Nottingham Forest’s threat is more weighted towards their back line and transitions: goalkeeper Matz Sels (GAP +2.1%) and centre-back Murillo (GAP +3.9%) both rate positively, suggesting Forest may lean on defensive resilience and quick breaks through the likes of Morgan Gibbs-White and Callum Hudson-Odoi to overturn the model’s underdog status. Injuries and availability Sunderland have several absentees to manage. Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi is out long term with an ankle injury and is not expected back before 1 June 2026, while Romaine Mundle is also sidelined until at least that date with a hamstring problem. Bertrand Traore is recovering from a knee injury and is not due back until early May. Goalkeeper Simon Moore remains out with a hand injury, and Nilson Angulo is nearing a return from an unspecified issue but remains doubtful. Daniel Ballard is also a doubt as he continues his recovery from a hamstring injury. For Nottingham Forest, Willy Boly is still missing with a knee injury and has no clear return date, and Nicolò Savona is likewise sidelined indefinitely with a knee problem. John is ruled out until at least 1 June 2026 following knee surgery, while Jair is working back from a foot injury and remains a doubt for involvement here.