Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina - Predictions, Stats & Odds
Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 31
Goals
Game Review
In a tightly contested Serie A encounter, Fiorentina edged past Hellas Verona with a narrow 1-0 victory, thanks to a late goal by Nicolò Fagioli (GAP +0.1%). The match, held on Saturday, 4 April 2026, saw both teams battling for control, but it was Fiorentina who managed to capitalize on their opportunity late in the game. The decisive moment came in the 82nd minute when Fagioli found the back of the net, securing all three points for Fiorentina. The match was not without its disciplinary issues, as Albert Guðmundsson (GAP +2.5%) received a red card in the 85th minute, shortly after Fagioli's goal, reducing Fiorentina to ten men. Hellas Verona's Tomáš Suslov also saw red in the same minute, leveling the playing field in terms of personnel. Tactically, Fiorentina's lineup featured no changes from their previous match, indicating a stable approach from their head coach. Hellas Verona, on the other hand, made several substitutions during the match, bringing in Tomáš Suslov, Daniel Mosquera, Amin Sarr, and Domagoj Bradarić, but these changes were unable to alter the outcome. Robin Gosens (GAP +3.0%) was instrumental for Fiorentina, contributing significantly to their defensive solidity, while Luca Ranieri (GAP +2.1%) also played a key role in maintaining their shape at the back. For Hellas Verona, Roberto Gagliardini (GAP -1.8%) and Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro (GAP -2.6%) struggled to impose themselves in the midfield, which may have contributed to their inability to break down Fiorentina's defense. This result sees Fiorentina continuing their push up the Serie A table, while Hellas Verona will need to regroup quickly to avoid slipping further down the standings. The victory provides Fiorentina with a crucial boost in confidence as they aim to finish the season strongly.
Lineups
Hellas Verona
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 67' | Amin Sarrfor Gift Orban |
| 75' | Domagoj Bradarićfor Daniel Akinbiyi Oyegoke |
| 75' | Tomáš Suslovfor Antoine Bernède |
| 90' | Daniel Mosquerafor Victor Nelsson |
Fiorentina
| Pos | Player |
|---|---|
| GK | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| DEF | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| MID | |
| FWD | |
| FWD | |
| FWD |
Substitutes
| 59' | Roberto Piccolifor Giovanni Fabbian |
| 76' | Jacopo Fazzinifor Moise Kean |
| 90' | Marco Brescianinifor Nicolò Fagioli |
| 90' | Eman Kospofor Pietro Comuzzo |
League Table after the game
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Fiorentina | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 32 | L D W D W |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 31 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | 53 | -31 | 18 | L W L L L |
Last Games
Head-to-Head
Serie A
Gameweek 31
What is GAP?
What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?
Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.
What is GAP?
GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.