Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

Bologna vs Fiorentina - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 21

Serie A - Gameweek 21

Sunday, 18 Jan 2026 • 15:00

Bologna

1 : 2

Fiorentina

Goals

19'
0 : 1
Rolando Mandra...
0 : 1
Rolando Mandragora19'
45'
0 : 2
Roberto Piccol...
0 : 2
Roberto Piccoli45'
Giovanni Fabbi...
1 : 2
88'
88'Giovanni Fabbian
1 : 2

Game Review

In a closely contested Serie A encounter, Fiorentina edged past Bologna with a 2-1 victory, thanks to first-half goals from Rolando Mandragora (GAP -1.1%) and Roberto Piccoli (GAP -1.4%). The result was somewhat expected given Fiorentina's recent form, as they have been performing steadily in the league. The match began with Fiorentina asserting early dominance, and they were rewarded in the 19th minute when Mandragora found the back of the net, setting the tone for the visitors. Bologna struggled to find their rhythm and were dealt another blow just before halftime when Piccoli doubled Fiorentina's lead in the 45th minute. Bologna, however, showed resilience in the second half, making several substitutions to inject fresh energy into their lineup. Giovanni Fabbian, one of the substitutes, made an immediate impact by scoring in the 88th minute, giving Bologna a glimmer of hope. Despite their late surge, Bologna couldn't find the equalizer. Tactically, Fiorentina's use of Robin Gosens (GAP +3.7%) and Dodô (GAP +2.8%) on the flanks provided them with width and attacking options, which Bologna struggled to contain. Bologna's Emil Holm (GAP +3.8%) was one of the standout performers for the home side, contributing significantly to their defensive efforts. Both teams made several changes to their starting lineups. Bologna's manager opted for a fresh approach by bringing in Nikola Moro, Jonathan Rowe, Lewis Ferguson, Nadir Zortea, and Giovanni Fabbian during the game. Fiorentina's head coach also rotated his squad, introducing Marco Brescianini, Manor Solomon, Niccolò Fortini, Luca Ranieri, and Simon Sohm. This victory helps Fiorentina maintain their momentum in the league, keeping them in contention for a higher finish as they continue to climb the Serie A table. For Bologna, the defeat highlights areas that need improvement, particularly in their defensive organization and ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities. Overall, the match was a testament to Fiorentina's tactical discipline and ability to capitalize on key moments, while Bologna will need to regroup and address their shortcomings as they look to bounce back in their upcoming fixtures.

Lineups

Bologna

PosPlayer
GK
Federico Ravaglia
DEF
Juan Miranda
DEF
Nicolò Casale
DEF
Emil Holm
DEF
Torbjørn Heggem
MID
Remo Freuler
MID
Tommaso Pobega
FWD
Riccardo Orsolini
FWD
Nicolò Cambiaghi
FWD
Jens Odgaard
FWD
Santiago Castro

Substitutes

46'Giovanni Fabbian
for Jens Odgaard
46'Nikola Morofor Remo Freuler
46'Jonathan Rowefor Riccardo Orsolini
46'Nadir Zorteafor Emil Holm
72'Lewis Ferguson
for Tommaso Pobega

Fiorentina

PosPlayer
GK
David de Gea
DEF
Robin Gosens
DEF
Marin Pongračić
DEF
Dodô
DEF
Fabiano Parisi
DEF
Pietro Comuzzo
MID
Rolando Mandragora
MID
Nicolò Fagioli
MID
Cher Ndour
FWD
Roberto Piccoli
FWD
Albert Guðmundsson

Substitutes

72'Simon Sohmfor Cher Ndour
72'Marco Brescianinifor Rolando Mandragora
72'Manor Solomonfor Albert Guðmundsson
80'Niccolò Fortinifor Fabiano Parisi
90'Luca Ranierifor Nicolò Fagioli
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
8Bologna218673024+630
L
L
D
W
L
17Fiorentina2138102332-917
L
W
D
D
W

Last Games

Bologna

@Hellas Verona
3 - 2
@Como
1 - 1
vsAtalanta
0 - 2
@Inter Milan
1 - 3
vsSassuolo
1 - 1

Fiorentina

vsAC Milan
1 - 1
@Lazio
2 - 2
vsCremonese
1 - 0
@Parma
0 - 1
vsUdinese
5 - 1

Head-to-Head

18 Jan 2026
Bologna1 - 2Fiorentina
18 Jan 2026Bologna
1 - 2
Fiorentina
26 Oct 2025
Fiorentina2 - 2Bologna
26 Oct 2025Fiorentina
2 - 2
Bologna
18 May 2025
Fiorentina3 - 2Bologna
18 May 2025Fiorentina
3 - 2
Bologna
15 Dec 2024
Bologna1 - 0Fiorentina
15 Dec 2024Bologna
1 - 0
Fiorentina
14 Feb 2024
Bologna2 - 0Fiorentina
14 Feb 2024Bologna
2 - 0
Fiorentina

Serie A

Gameweek 21

16 Jan • 20:45
Pisa
Atalanta
1 - 1
17 Jan • 15:00
Udinese
Inter Milan
0 - 1
17 Jan • 18:00
Napoli
Sassuolo
1 - 0
17 Jan • 20:45
Cagliari
Juventus
1 - 0
18 Jan • 12:30
Parma
Genoa
0 - 0
18 Jan • 15:00
Bologna
Fiorentina
1 - 2
18 Jan • 18:00
Torino
Roma
0 - 2
18 Jan • 20:45
AC Milan
Lecce
1 - 0
19 Jan • 18:30
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0 - 0
19 Jan • 20:45
Lazio
Como
0 - 3

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.