Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

Rayo Vallecano vs Atlético Madrid - Predictions, Stats & Odds

La Liga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 24

La Liga - Gameweek 24

Sunday, 15 Feb 2026 • 16:15

Rayo Vallecano

3 : 0

Atlético Madrid

Goals

Fran Pérez
1 : 0
40'
40'Fran Pérez
1 : 0
Óscar Valentín
2 : 0
45'
45'Óscar Valentín
2 : 0
Nobel Mendy
3 : 0
76'
76'Nobel Mendy
3 : 0

Game Review

In a surprising turn of events, Rayo Vallecano secured a commanding 3-0 victory over Atlético Madrid in their La Liga clash on Sunday, 15 February 2026. This result defied pre-match expectations, as Atlético Madrid, traditionally one of the stronger sides in the league, were expected to pose a significant challenge to Rayo Vallecano. The match began with Rayo Vallecano asserting themselves early on, and they took the lead in the 40th minute through Fran Pérez. Just before the halftime whistle, Óscar Valentín doubled their advantage, putting the home side in a strong position at the break. The second half saw Rayo Vallecano continue their dominance, with Nobel Mendy sealing the victory with a goal in the 76th minute. Atlético Madrid struggled to find their rhythm throughout the match, and despite making several substitutions, including the introduction of Ademola Lookman, Obed Vargas, Julián Álvarez, Marcos Llorente, and Robin Le Normand, they were unable to break down a resilient Rayo Vallecano defense. Rayo Vallecano's manager made full use of his bench, bringing on Unai Lopez, Jozhua Vertrouwd, Pedro Díaz, Randy Nteka, and Alvaro Garcia to maintain their momentum and secure the win. The tactical flexibility and depth of Rayo Vallecano's squad were evident, as they managed to keep Atlético Madrid at bay while capitalizing on their scoring opportunities. This victory is a significant boost for Rayo Vallecano, who will be looking to build on this performance in their upcoming fixtures. For Atlético Madrid, this defeat is a setback in their pursuit of a top-four finish, and they will need to regroup quickly to get their campaign back on track. Overall, Rayo Vallecano's clinical finishing and solid defensive display were the key factors in their impressive win, while Atlético Madrid will need to address their shortcomings as they prepare for their next match.

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano

PosPlayer
GK
Augusto Batalla
DEF
Florian Lejeune
DEF
Alfonso Espino
DEF
Andrei Rațiu
DEF
Nobel Mendy
MID
Gerard Gumbau
MID
Óscar Valentín
MID
Ilias Akhomach
MID
Fran Pérez
FWD
Jorge de Frutos
FWD
Isi Palazón

Substitutes

64'Pedro Díazfor Isi Palazón
64'Jozhua Vertrouwdfor Jorge de Frutos
64'Alvaro Garcia
for Fran Pérez
74'Randy Ntekafor Ilias Akhomach
83'Unai Lopezfor Gerard Gumbau

Atlético Madrid

PosPlayer
GK
Jan Oblak
DEF
José María Giménez
DEF
Clément Lenglet
DEF
Nahuel Molina
MID
Matteo Ruggeri
MID
Álex Baena
MID
Johnny Cardoso
MID
Thiago Almada
MID
Rodrigo Mendoza
FWD
Alexander Sørloth
FWD
Nicolás González

Substitutes

56'Obed Vargasfor Matteo Ruggeri
56'Robin Le Normandfor Rodrigo Mendoza
56'Julián Álvarezfor Álex Baena
63'Ademola Lookmanfor Clément Lenglet
63'Marcos Llorente
for Johnny Cardoso
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
4Atlético Madrid2413653821+1745
W
W
D
L
L
17Rayo Vallecano2367102130-925
W
L
L
L
W

Last Games

Rayo Vallecano

@Real Madrid
1 - 2
vsOsasuna
1 - 3
@Celta Vigo
0 - 3
vsMallorca
2 - 1
vsGetafe
1 - 1

Atlético Madrid

vsReal Betis
0 - 1
@Levante
0 - 0
vsMallorca
3 - 0
vsDeportivo Alavés
1 - 0
@Real Sociedad
1 - 1

Head-to-Head

15 Feb 2026
Rayo Vallecano3 - 0Atlético Madrid
15 Feb 2026Rayo Vallecano
3 - 0
Atlético Madrid
24 Sept 2025
Atlético Madrid3 - 2Rayo Vallecano
24 Sept 2025Atlético Madrid
3 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
24 Apr 2025
Atlético Madrid3 - 0Rayo Vallecano
24 Apr 2025Atlético Madrid
3 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
22 Sept 2024
Rayo Vallecano1 - 1Atlético Madrid
22 Sept 2024Rayo Vallecano
1 - 1
Atlético Madrid
31 Jan 2024
Atlético Madrid2 - 1Rayo Vallecano
31 Jan 2024Atlético Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

La Liga

Gameweek 24

13 Feb • 21:00
Elche
Osasuna
0 - 0
14 Feb • 14:00
Espanyol
Celta Vigo
2 - 2
14 Feb • 16:15
Getafe
Villarreal
2 - 1
14 Feb • 18:30
Sevilla
Deportivo Alavés
1 - 1
14 Feb • 21:00
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4 - 1
15 Feb • 14:00
Real Oviedo
Athletic Bilbao
1 - 2
15 Feb • 16:15
Rayo Vallecano
Atlético Madrid
3 - 0
15 Feb • 18:30
Levante
Valencia
0 - 2
15 Feb • 21:00
Mallorca
Real Betis
1 - 2
16 Feb • 21:00
Girona
Barcelona
2 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.