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Manchester City vs Nottingham Forest - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 29

Premier League - Gameweek 29

Wednesday, 4 Mar 2026 • 19:30

Etihad Stadium (Etihad Campus, Manchester)

Manchester City

2 : 2

Nottingham Forest

Goals

Antoine Semeny...
1 : 0
31'
31'Antoine Semenyo
1 : 0
56'
1 : 1
Morgan Gibbs-W...
1 : 1
Morgan Gibbs-White56'
Rodri
2 : 1
62'
62'Rodri
2 : 1
76'
2 : 2
Elliott Anders...
2 : 2
Elliott Anderson76'

Game Review

In a thrilling Premier League encounter at the Etihad Stadium, Manchester City and Nottingham Forest played out a 2-2 draw, a result that might have surprised some given City's strong home form. The match was marked by a series of tactical battles and standout performances, particularly from Manchester City's Ruben Dias (GAP +8.7%) and Nottingham Forest's goalkeeper Matz Sels (GAP +1.1%). The game began with Manchester City taking the lead in the 31st minute through Antoine Semenyo (GAP +1.7%), who capitalized on a defensive lapse from Forest. However, Nottingham Forest responded in the second half with Morgan Gibbs-White (GAP +0.2%) equalizing in the 56th minute. City regained the lead shortly after, with Rodri (GAP +4.6%) finding the net in the 62nd minute, showcasing his ability to influence the game from midfield. Nottingham Forest, however, were not to be outdone. Elliott Anderson's goal in the 76th minute ensured the visitors left with a valuable point. The result was a testament to Forest's resilience, especially considering their position in the league and recent form. Both managers made two changes to their starting lineups. Manchester City brought in Phil Foden (GAP +5.6%) and Erling Haaland (GAP +5.1%), while Omar Marmoush and Nico O'Reilly were left out. Nottingham Forest's lineup saw Nicolás Domínguez and Jair Cunha come in, replacing Callum Hudson-Odoi and Omari Hutchinson. These changes were part of strategic rotations, with no specific reasons publicly disclosed for the exclusions. The draw leaves Manchester City in a challenging position as they aim to close the gap at the top of the table. For Nottingham Forest, the point gained is crucial in their fight to climb the standings, providing a morale boost as they continue to battle against the odds. Post-match reactions highlighted the competitive nature of the game, with both teams acknowledging the quality of their opponents. The result reflects the unpredictable nature of the Premier League, where even the strongest teams can be held to a draw by determined opposition.

Lineups

Manchester City

PosPlayer
GK
Gianluigi Donnarumma
DEF
Ruben Dias
DEF
Rayan Aït-Nouri
DEF
Marc Guéhi
MID
Bernardo Silva
MID
Rodri
MID
Antoine Semenyo
MID
Rayan Cherki
MID
Matheus Nunes
FWD
Phil Foden
FWD
Erling Haaland

Substitutes

78'Jérémy Dokufor Phil Foden
78'Abduqodir Khusanovfor Rayan Aït-Nouri
83'Savinhofor Rayan Cherki

Nottingham Forest

PosPlayer
GK
Matz Sels
DEF
Ola Aina
DEF
Nikola Milenković
DEF
Neco Williams
DEF
Murillo
DEF
Jair Cunha
MID
Nicolás Domínguez
MID
Morgan Gibbs-White
MID
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID
Elliott Anderson
FWD
Igor Jesus

Substitutes

64'Callum Hudson-Odoifor Nicolás Domínguez
79'Taiwo Awoniyifor Igor Jesus
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
2Manchester City2918655927+3260
W
W
W
W
D
17Nottingham Forest2977152843-1528
L
D
L
L
D

Last Games

Manchester City

@Leeds United
1 - 0
vsNewcastle United
2 - 1
vsFulham
3 - 0
@Liverpool
2 - 1
@Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 2

Nottingham Forest

@Brighton and Hove Albion
1 - 2
vsLiverpool
0 - 1
vsWolverhampton Wanderers
0 - 0
@Leeds United
1 - 3
vsCrystal Palace
1 - 1

Head-to-Head

04 Mar 2026
Manchester City2 - 2Nottingham Forest
04 Mar 2026Manchester City
2 - 2
Nottingham Forest
27 Dec 2025
Nottingham Forest1 - 2Manchester City
27 Dec 2025Nottingham Forest
1 - 2
Manchester City
08 Mar 2025
Nottingham Forest1 - 0Manchester City
08 Mar 2025Nottingham Forest
1 - 0
Manchester City
04 Dec 2024
Manchester City3 - 0Nottingham Forest
04 Dec 2024Manchester City
3 - 0
Nottingham Forest
28 Apr 2024
Nottingham Forest0 - 2Manchester City
28 Apr 2024Nottingham Forest
0 - 2
Manchester City

Premier League

Gameweek 29

03 Mar • 19:30
Bournemouth
Brentford
0 - 0
03 Mar • 19:30
Everton
Burnley
2 - 0
03 Mar • 19:30
Leeds United
Sunderland
0 - 1
03 Mar • 20:15
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Liverpool
2 - 1
04 Mar • 19:30
Brighton and Hove Albion
Arsenal
0 - 1
04 Mar • 19:30
Fulham
West Ham United
0 - 1
04 Mar • 19:30
Manchester City
Nottingham Forest
2 - 2
04 Mar • 19:30
Aston Villa
Chelsea
1 - 4
04 Mar • 20:15
Newcastle United
Manchester United
2 - 1
05 Mar • 16:00
Tottenham Hotspur
Crystal Palace
1 - 3

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.