Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

FC Bayern München vs Holstein Kiel - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 20

Bundesliga - Gameweek 20

Saturday, 1 Feb 2025 • 15:30

FC Bayern München

4 : 3

Holstein Kiel

Goals

Jamal Musiala
1 : 0
19'
19'Jamal Musiala
1 : 0
Harry Kane
2 : 0
45'
45'Harry Kane
2 : 0
Harry Kane
3 : 0
46'
46'Harry Kane
3 : 0
Serge Gnabry
4 : 0
54'
54'Serge Gnabry
4 : 0
62'
4 : 1
Finn-Dominik P...
4 : 1
Finn-Dominik Porath62'
90'
4 : 2
Steven Skrzybs...
4 : 2
Steven Skrzybski90'

Lineups

FC Bayern München

PosPlayer
GK
Manuel Neuer
DEF
Raphael Guerreiro
DEF
Joshua Kimmich
DEF
Dayot Upamecano
DEF
Min-jae Kim
MID
Konrad Laimer
MID
Jamal Musiala
MID
Aleksandar Pavlović
FWD
Harry Kane
FWD
Kingsley Coman
FWD
Michael Olise

Substitutes

46'Serge Gnabry
for Michael Olise
58'Joao Palhinhafor Aleksandar Pavlović
58'Thomas Mullerfor Harry Kane
58'Leroy Sanefor Kingsley Coman
85'Adam Aznoufor Raphael Guerreiro

Holstein Kiel

PosPlayer
GK
Timon Weiner
DEF
Timo Becker
DEF
Marco Komenda
DEF
Dominik Javorček
DEF
David Zec
DEF
Lasse Rosenboom
DEF
John Tolkin
MID
Lewis Holtby
MID
Finn-Dominik Porath
MID
Armin Gigovic
FWD
Phil Harres

Substitutes

61'Magnus Knudsenfor Armin Gigovic
61'Steven Skrzybski
for Dominik Javorček
71'Jann-Fiete Arpfor Lasse Rosenboom
82'Marko Ivezićfor John Tolkin
83'Andu Kelatifor Phil Harres
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1FC Bayern München2016316219+4351
W
W
W
W
W
17Holstein Kiel2033143152-2112
L
W
L
D
L

Last Games

FC Bayern München

@SC Freiburg
2 - 1
vsVfL Wolfsburg
3 - 2
vs1899 Hoffenheim
5 - 0
@Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 - 0
vsRB Leipzig
5 - 1

Holstein Kiel

@VfL Wolfsburg
2 - 2
vs1899 Hoffenheim
1 - 3
vsBorussia Dortmund
4 - 2
@SC Freiburg
2 - 3
vsFC Augsburg
5 - 1

Head-to-Head

01 Feb 2025
FC Bayern München4 - 3Holstein Kiel
01 Feb 2025FC Bayern München
4 - 3
Holstein Kiel
14 Sept 2024
Holstein Kiel1 - 6FC Bayern München
14 Sept 2024Holstein Kiel
1 - 6
FC Bayern München

Bundesliga

Gameweek 20

31 Jan • 20:30
Werder Bremen
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 0
01 Feb • 15:30
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1 - 2
01 Feb • 15:30
FC Bayern München
Holstein Kiel
4 - 3
01 Feb • 15:30
FC Heidenheim
Borussia Dortmund
1 - 2
01 Feb • 15:30
VfL Bochum
SC Freiburg
0 - 1
01 Feb • 15:30
St. Pauli
FC Augsburg
1 - 1
01 Feb • 18:30
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
0 - 0
02 Feb • 15:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 1
02 Feb • 17:30
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
3 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.