Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

Nottingham Forest vs Luton - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 9

Premier League - Gameweek 9

Saturday, 21 Oct 2023 • 00:00

The City Ground (Winchester)

Nottingham Forest

2 : 2

Luton

Goals

Chris Wood
1 : 0
48'
48'Chris Wood
1 : 0
Chris Wood
2 : 0
76'
76'Chris Wood
2 : 0
83'
2 : 1
Chiedozie Ogbe...
2 : 1
Chiedozie Ogbene83'
90'
2 : 2
Elijah Adebayo
2 : 2
Elijah Adebayo90'

Lineups

Nottingham Forest

PosPlayer
GK
Matt Turner
DEF
Serge Aurier
DEF
Willy Boly
DEF
Murillo
DEF
Harry Toffolo
MID
Nicolás Domínguez
MID
Orel Mangala
MID
Ibrahim Sangaré
MID
Morgan Gibbs-White
FWD
Chris Wood
FWD
Anthony Elanga

Substitutes

78'Nicolás Domínguezfor Ryan Yates
78'Ibrahim Sangaré
for Cheikhou Kouyate
78'Willy Bolyfor Joe Worrall
88'Serge Aurierfor Ola Aina
88'Anthony Elangafor Neco Williams

Luton

PosPlayer
GK
Thomas Kaminski
DEF
Reece Burke
DEF
Tom Lockyer
DEF
Teden Mengi
DEF
Alfie Doughty
MID
Marvelous Nakamba
MID
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu
MID
Tahith Chong
FWD
Chiedozie Ogbene
FWD
Jacob Brown
FWD
Carlton Morris

Substitutes

55'Reece Burkefor Issa Kaboré
72'Pelly Ruddock Mpanzufor Ross Barkley
72'Tahith Chongfor Andros Townsend
72'Jacob Brownfor Elijah Adebayo
81'Carlton Morrisfor Cauley Woodrow
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
15Nottingham Forest92431012-210
D
L
D
D
D
17Luton9126817-95
D
W
L
L
D

Last Games

Nottingham Forest

@Crystal Palace
0 - 0
vsBrentford
1 - 1
@Manchester City
0 - 2
vsBurnley
1 - 1
@Chelsea
1 - 0

Luton

vsTottenham Hotspur
0 - 1
vsBurnley
1 - 2
@Everton
2 - 1
vsWolverhampton Wanderers
1 - 1
@Fulham
0 - 1

Head-to-Head

16 Mar 2024
Luton1 - 1Nottingham Forest
16 Mar 2024Luton
1 - 1
Nottingham Forest
21 Oct 2023
Nottingham Forest2 - 2Luton
21 Oct 2023Nottingham Forest
2 - 2
Luton

Premier League

Gameweek 9

21 Oct • 00:00
Chelsea
Arsenal
2 - 2
21 Oct • 00:00
Liverpool
Everton
2 - 0
21 Oct • 00:00
Manchester City
Brighton and Hove Albion
2 - 1
21 Oct • 00:00
Newcastle United
Crystal Palace
4 - 0
21 Oct • 00:00
Nottingham Forest
Luton
2 - 2
21 Oct • 00:00
Sheffield United
Manchester United
1 - 2
21 Oct • 00:00
Bournemouth
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1 - 2
21 Oct • 00:00
Brentford
Burnley
3 - 0
22 Oct • 00:00
Aston Villa
West Ham United
4 - 1
23 Oct • 00:00
Tottenham Hotspur
Fulham
2 - 0

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.