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Liverpool vs Burnley - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Premier League Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 22

Premier League - Gameweek 22

Saturday, 17 Jan 2026 • 15:00

Anfield (Anfield, Liverpool, England)

Liverpool

1 : 1

Burnley

Goals

Florian Wirtz
1 : 0
42'
42'Florian Wirtz
1 : 0
65'
1 : 1
Marcus Edwards
1 : 1
Marcus Edwards65'

Game Review

Liverpool and Burnley played out a 1-1 draw at Anfield in their Premier League clash on Saturday. The result was somewhat surprising given Liverpool's strong home form and Burnley's struggles this season. However, Burnley showed resilience to earn a valuable point. The match began with Liverpool dominating possession, but it took until the 42nd minute for Florian Wirtz (GAP -0.5%) to break the deadlock with a well-taken goal. Liverpool seemed in control, but Burnley responded in the second half. Marcus Edwards equalized in the 65th minute, capitalizing on a defensive lapse from Liverpool. Liverpool made two changes to their lineup compared to their previous game, with Curtis Jones and Hugo Ekitiké coming in for Alexis Mac Allister and Conor Bradley. These changes were likely tactical, as Liverpool looked to freshen up their squad. Burnley also made two changes, introducing Axel Tuanzebe and Jaidon Anthony for Josh Laurent and Hannibal Mejbri, possibly due to international duty commitments. In terms of individual performances, Alisson Becker (GAP +5.8%) was crucial for Liverpool, making several key saves to keep Burnley at bay. Virgil van Dijk (GAP +4.6%) also had a solid game in defense, while Ryan Gravenberch (GAP +4.7%) was influential in midfield. The result leaves Liverpool in a challenging position as they aim to climb the Premier League table. For Burnley, the draw is a morale booster as they continue to fight against relegation. Both teams will need to build on this performance in their upcoming fixtures to achieve their respective season goals.

Lineups

Liverpool

PosPlayer
GK
Alisson Becker
DEF
Virgil van Dijk
DEF
Ibrahima Konate
DEF
Jeremie Frimpong
DEF
Milos Kerkez
MID
Curtis Jones
MID
Ryan Gravenberch
MID
Dominik Szoboszlai
MID
Florian Wirtz
FWD
Cody Gakpo
FWD
Hugo Ekitiké

Substitutes

78'Andrew Robertsonfor Milos Kerkez
78'Rio Ngumohafor Cody Gakpo
78'Alexis Mac Allisterfor Ryan Gravenberch
87'Federico Chiesafor Curtis Jones

Burnley

PosPlayer
GK
Martin Dubravka
DEF
Kyle Walker
DEF
Axel Tuanzebe
DEF
Bashir Humphreys
DEF
Lucas Pires
MID
Florentino Luís
MID
Lesley Ugochukwu
MID
Marcus Edwards
MID
Maxime Esteve
FWD
Armando Broja
FWD
Jaidon Anthony

Substitutes

74'Hjalmar Ekdalfor Maxime Esteve
74'Lyle Fosterfor Armando Broja
85'Josh Laurentfor Lesley Ugochukwu
90'Loum Tchaounafor Florentino Luís
90'Hannibal Mejbrifor Marcus Edwards
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
4Liverpool2210663329+436
W
D
D
D
D
19Burnley2235142342-1914
D
L
L
D
D

Last Games

Liverpool

@Arsenal
0 - 0
@Fulham
2 - 2
vsLeeds United
0 - 0
vsWolverhampton Wanderers
2 - 1
@Tottenham Hotspur
2 - 1

Burnley

vsManchester United
2 - 2
@Brighton and Hove Albion
0 - 2
vsNewcastle United
1 - 3
vsEverton
0 - 0
@Bournemouth
1 - 1

Head-to-Head

17 Jan 2026
Liverpool1 - 1Burnley
17 Jan 2026Liverpool
1 - 1
Burnley
14 Sept 2025
Burnley0 - 1Liverpool
14 Sept 2025Burnley
0 - 1
Liverpool
10 Feb 2024
Liverpool3 - 1Burnley
10 Feb 2024Liverpool
3 - 1
Burnley
26 Dec 2023
Burnley0 - 2Liverpool
26 Dec 2023Burnley
0 - 2
Liverpool

Premier League

Gameweek 22

17 Jan • 12:30
Manchester United
Manchester City
2 - 0
17 Jan • 15:00
Sunderland
Crystal Palace
2 - 1
17 Jan • 15:00
Tottenham Hotspur
West Ham United
1 - 2
17 Jan • 15:00
Chelsea
Brentford
2 - 0
17 Jan • 15:00
Leeds United
Fulham
1 - 0
17 Jan • 15:00
Liverpool
Burnley
1 - 1
17 Jan • 17:30
Nottingham Forest
Arsenal
0 - 0
18 Jan • 14:00
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Newcastle United
0 - 0
18 Jan • 16:30
Aston Villa
Everton
0 - 1
19 Jan • 20:00
Brighton and Hove Albion
Bournemouth
1 - 1

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.