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AC Milan vs Lecce - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 21

Serie A - Gameweek 21

Sunday, 18 Jan 2026 • 20:45

AC Milan

1 : 0

Lecce

Game Review

AC Milan secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Lecce in their Serie A clash on Sunday, 18 January 2026. The match, held at the iconic San Siro, saw Milan extend their unbeaten run, although the performance was far from dominant. The result was largely expected, given Milan's superior position in the league standings and their recent form. The game was tightly contested, with both sides struggling to create clear-cut chances. Despite the lack of goals recorded in the key events, AC Milan managed to find the net once, which proved to be the decisive moment in the match. The home side's defense, marshaled by Fikayo Tomori (GAP +5.4%), was instrumental in maintaining their clean sheet, while Mike Maignan (GAP +3.5%) in goal ensured Lecce's efforts were thwarted. Christian Pulisic (GAP +4.6%) was a standout performer for Milan, providing creativity and flair in the attacking third. His contributions were crucial in breaking down a resilient Lecce defense. On the other hand, Lecce's goalkeeper, Wladimiro Falcone (GAP -1.3%), had a challenging afternoon, as he faced a barrage of attempts from the Milan attack. Both teams fielded unchanged lineups from their previous matches, indicating a level of consistency in selection. However, neither manager opted to use their substitutes, which suggests satisfaction with the performances on the pitch or a lack of depth on the bench. This victory solidifies AC Milan's position in the upper echelons of the Serie A table, as they continue to chase the top spots. For Lecce, the defeat leaves them hovering around the mid-table, needing to find more consistency to climb higher. The result reflects Milan's ongoing momentum, while Lecce will need to regroup and strategize for their upcoming fixtures.

Lineups

AC Milan

PosPlayer
GK
Mike Maignan
DEF
Fikayo Tomori
DEF
Matteo Gabbia
DEF
Pervis Estupiñán
DEF
Koni De Winter
MID
Adrien Rabiot
MID
Samuele Ricci
MID
Ardon Jashari
FWD
Christian Pulisic
FWD
Rafael Leão
FWD
Alexis Saelemaekers

Lecce

PosPlayer
GK
Wladimiro Falcone
DEF
Antonino Gallo
DEF
Corrie Ndaba
DEF
Omri Gandelman
DEF
Jamil Siebert
DEF
Tiago Gabriel
MID
Lassana Coulibaly
MID
Ylber Ramadani
FWD
Riccardo Sottil
FWD
Santiago Pierotti
FWD
Nikola Štulić
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
2AC Milan2113713416+1846
W
D
D
W
W
18Lecce2145121329-1617
D
L
L
L
L

Last Games

AC Milan

@Como
3 - 1
@Fiorentina
1 - 1
vsGenoa
1 - 1
@Cagliari
1 - 0
vsHellas Verona
3 - 0

Lecce

@Inter Milan
0 - 1
vsParma
1 - 2
vsRoma
0 - 2
@Juventus
1 - 1
vsComo
0 - 3

Head-to-Head

18 Jan 2026
AC Milan1 - 0Lecce
18 Jan 2026AC Milan
1 - 0
Lecce
29 Aug 2025
Lecce0 - 2AC Milan
29 Aug 2025Lecce
0 - 2
AC Milan
08 Mar 2025
Lecce2 - 3AC Milan
08 Mar 2025Lecce
2 - 3
AC Milan
27 Sept 2024
AC Milan3 - 0Lecce
27 Sept 2024AC Milan
3 - 0
Lecce
06 Apr 2024
AC Milan3 - 0Lecce
06 Apr 2024AC Milan
3 - 0
Lecce

Serie A

Gameweek 21

16 Jan • 20:45
Pisa
Atalanta
1 - 1
17 Jan • 15:00
Udinese
Inter Milan
0 - 1
17 Jan • 18:00
Napoli
Sassuolo
1 - 0
17 Jan • 20:45
Cagliari
Juventus
1 - 0
18 Jan • 12:30
Parma
Genoa
0 - 0
18 Jan • 15:00
Bologna
Fiorentina
1 - 2
18 Jan • 18:00
Torino
Roma
0 - 2
18 Jan • 20:45
AC Milan
Lecce
1 - 0
19 Jan • 18:30
Cremonese
Hellas Verona
0 - 0
19 Jan • 20:45
Lazio
Como
0 - 3

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.