Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

St. Pauli vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 5

Bundesliga - Gameweek 5

Saturday, 27 Sept 2025 • 15:30

St. Pauli

1 : 2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Goals

25'
0 : 1
Edmond Tapsoba
0 : 1
Edmond Tapsoba25'
Hauke Wahl
1 : 1
32'
32'Hauke Wahl
1 : 1
58'
1 : 2
Ernest Poku
1 : 2
Ernest Poku58'

Lineups

St. Pauli

PosPlayer
GK
Nikola Vasilj
DEF
Hauke Wahl
DEF
James Sands
DEF
Lars Ritzka
DEF
Manolis Saliakas
DEF
Louis Oppie
MID
Mathias Pereira-Lage
MID
Eric Smith
MID
Joel Fujita
MID
Danel Sinani
FWD
Andréas Hountondji

Substitutes

68'Adam Dźwigałafor Lars Ritzka
68'Martijn Kaarsfor Andréas Hountondji
80'Connor Metcalfefor Joel Fujita
81'Oladapo Afolayanfor Mathias Pereira-Lage
87'Abdoulie Ceesay
for Manolis Saliakas

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

PosPlayer
GK
Mark Flekken
DEF
Alex Grimaldo
DEF
Edmond Tapsoba
DEF
Loïc Badé
DEF
Jarell Quansah
DEF
Axel Tape
MID
Robert Andrich
MID
Aleix García
MID
Malik Tillman
MID
Eliesse Ben Seghir
FWD
Patrik Schick

Substitutes

46'Ezequiel Fernández
for Robert Andrich
56'Ernest Poku
for Eliesse Ben Seghir
56'Lucas Vazquez
for Axel Tape
75'Jonas Hofmannfor Malik Tillman
89'Christian Kofane
for Patrik Schick
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
6Bayer 04 Leverkusen5221108+28
L
D
W
D
W
9St. Pauli52128807
D
W
W
L
L

Last Games

St. Pauli

@VfB Stuttgart
0 - 2
vsFC Augsburg
2 - 1
@Hamburger SV
2 - 0
vsBorussia Dortmund
3 - 3
vsVfL Bochum
0 - 2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

vsBorussia Mönchengladbach
1 - 1
vsEintracht Frankfurt
3 - 1
@Werder Bremen
3 - 3
vs1899 Hoffenheim
1 - 2
@FSV Mainz 05
2 - 2

Head-to-Head

14 Feb 2026
Bayer 04 Leverkus...4 - 0St. Pauli
14 Feb 2026Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4 - 0
St. Pauli
27 Sept 2025
St. Pauli1 - 2Bayer 04 Leverkus...
27 Sept 2025St. Pauli
1 - 2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
20 Apr 2025
St. Pauli1 - 1Bayer 04 Leverkus...
20 Apr 2025St. Pauli
1 - 1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
07 Dec 2024
Bayer 04 Leverkus...2 - 1St. Pauli
07 Dec 2024Bayer 04 Leverkusen
2 - 1
St. Pauli

Bundesliga

Gameweek 5

26 Sept • 20:30
FC Bayern München
Werder Bremen
4 - 0
27 Sept • 15:30
FC Heidenheim
FC Augsburg
2 - 1
27 Sept • 15:30
FSV Mainz 05
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 2
27 Sept • 15:30
St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 - 2
27 Sept • 15:30
VfL Wolfsburg
RB Leipzig
0 - 1
27 Sept • 18:30
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 - 6
28 Sept • 15:30
SC Freiburg
1899 Hoffenheim
1 - 1
28 Sept • 17:30
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1 - 2
28 Sept • 19:30
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
0 - 0

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.