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Udinese vs Fiorentina - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Serie A Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 27

Serie A - Gameweek 27

Monday, 2 Mar 2026 • 20:45

Udinese

3 : 0

Fiorentina

Goals

Christian Kaba...
1 : 0
10'
10'Christian Kabasele
1 : 0
Keinan Davis
2 : 0
64'
64'Keinan Davis
2 : 0
Adam Buksa
3 : 0
90'
90'Adam Buksa
3 : 0

Game Review

In a commanding Serie A performance, Udinese secured a 3-0 victory over Fiorentina on Monday, 2 March 2026. This result was somewhat unexpected given Fiorentina's higher league standing and recent form, but Udinese's clinical finishing and solid defense turned the tide in their favor. The match began with Udinese taking an early lead through Christian Kabasele (GAP +0.4%), who found the net in the 10th minute. This early goal set the tone for the home side, who maintained control throughout the match. Fiorentina struggled to respond effectively, despite having experienced players like David de Gea (GAP -1.0%) in goal. The second half saw Udinese extend their lead with a goal from Keinan Davis (GAP +0.7%) in the 64th minute. Fiorentina's attempts to claw back into the game were thwarted by a disciplined Udinese defense. The final blow came in the 90th minute when substitute Adam Buksa sealed the victory with a third goal. Tactically, Udinese's manager made effective use of his substitutes, bringing in Lennon Miller, Adam Buksa, Oier Zarraga, and Hassane Kamara to maintain the team's momentum. Fiorentina's head coach also made several changes, introducing Giovanni Fabbian, Roberto Piccoli, Pietro Comuzzo, Cher Ndour, and Jacopo Fazzini, but these adjustments failed to alter the course of the match. The Game Advantage Percentage (GAP) statistics highlighted several key performances. Nicolò Bertola (GAP +1.8%) was particularly influential in defense, while Albert Guðmundsson (GAP +1.5%) was one of the few bright spots for Fiorentina. This victory is a significant boost for Udinese, who have struggled for consistency this season. The win could serve as a catalyst for a stronger finish to their Serie A campaign. For Fiorentina, this defeat is a setback in their pursuit of European qualification, and they will need to regroup quickly to maintain their position in the upper half of the table.

Lineups

Udinese

PosPlayer
GK
Maduka Okoye
DEF
Christian Kabasele
DEF
Kingsley Ehizibue
DEF
Thomas Kristensen
DEF
Jordan Zemura
DEF
Nicolò Bertola
MID
Nicolò Zaniolo
MID
Jurgen Ekkelenkamp
MID
Jesper Karlström
MID
Jakub Piotrowski
FWD
Keinan Davis

Substitutes

68'Adam Buksa
for Keinan Davis
73'Hassane Kamarafor Jordan Zemura
73'Oier Zarragafor Jakub Piotrowski
87'Lennon Millerfor Nicolò Zaniolo

Fiorentina

PosPlayer
GK
David de Gea
DEF
Daniele Rugani
DEF
Luca Ranieri
DEF
Marin Pongračić
DEF
Fabiano Parisi
MID
Rolando Mandragora
MID
Marco Brescianini
MID
Nicolò Fagioli
FWD
Jack Harrison
FWD
Moise Kean
FWD
Albert Guðmundsson

Substitutes

46'Pietro Comuzzofor Marin Pongračić
46'Cher Ndourfor Marco Brescianini
71'Roberto Piccolifor Moise Kean
71'Giovanni Fabbianfor Rolando Mandragora
87'Jacopo Fazzinifor Nicolò Fagioli
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
10Udinese27105123139-835
W
L
L
L
W
16Fiorentina2759133042-1224
L
D
W
W
L

Last Games

Udinese

@Bologna
0 - 1
vsSassuolo
1 - 2
@Lecce
1 - 2
vsRoma
1 - 0
@Hellas Verona
3 - 1

Fiorentina

vsPisa
1 - 0
@Como
2 - 1
vsTorino
2 - 2
@Napoli
1 - 2
vsCagliari
1 - 2

Head-to-Head

02 Mar 2026
Udinese3 - 0Fiorentina
02 Mar 2026Udinese
3 - 0
Fiorentina
21 Dec 2025
Fiorentina5 - 1Udinese
21 Dec 2025Fiorentina
5 - 1
Udinese
25 May 2025
Udinese2 - 3Fiorentina
25 May 2025Udinese
2 - 3
Fiorentina
23 Dec 2024
Fiorentina1 - 2Udinese
23 Dec 2024Fiorentina
1 - 2
Udinese
14 Jan 2024
Fiorentina2 - 2Udinese
14 Jan 2024Fiorentina
2 - 2
Udinese

Serie A

Gameweek 27

27 Feb • 20:45
Parma
Cagliari
1 - 1
28 Feb • 15:00
Como
Lecce
3 - 1
28 Feb • 18:00
Hellas Verona
Napoli
1 - 2
28 Feb • 20:45
Inter Milan
Genoa
2 - 0
01 Mar • 12:30
Cremonese
AC Milan
0 - 2
01 Mar • 15:00
Sassuolo
Atalanta
2 - 1
01 Mar • 18:00
Torino
Lazio
2 - 0
01 Mar • 20:45
Roma
Juventus
3 - 3
02 Mar • 18:30
Pisa
Bologna
0 - 1
02 Mar • 20:45
Udinese
Fiorentina
3 - 0

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.