Subscribe to our Newsletter

Get a monthly digest of the latest Football GAP insights.

About Us

We believe the individual impact of football players cannot be measured by vanity metrics like goals, passes, tackles won or possession. Real team players influence besides their own metrics especially their team members, their opponents and as a final output the game result directly and indirectly. This is what Football GAP is about.

© 2025 Football Gap. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsContact

RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05 - Predictions, Stats & Odds

Bundesliga Statistics, AI predictions, (Expected) Lineups and Insights for Gameweek 24

Bundesliga - Gameweek 24

Saturday, 1 Mar 2025 • 15:30

RB Leipzig

1 : 2

FSV Mainz 05

Goals

Xavi Simons
1 : 0
1'
1'Xavi Simons
1 : 0
52'
1 : 1
Nadiem Amiri
1 : 1
Nadiem Amiri52'
58'
1 : 2
Jonathan Burka...
1 : 2
Jonathan Burkardt58'

Lineups

RB Leipzig

PosPlayer
GK
Peter Gulacsi
DEF
Willi Orban
DEF
Lutsharel Geertruida
DEF
David Raum
DEF
El Chadaille Bitshiabu
MID
Amadou Haidara
MID
Ridle Baku
MID
Xavi Simons
MID
Arthur Vermeeren
FWD
Loïs Openda
FWD
Benjamin Šeško

Substitutes

59'Nicolas Seiwaldfor Lutsharel Geertruida
59'Kevin Kamplfor Amadou Haidara
72'Kosta Nedeljkovićfor Loïs Openda
72'Castello Lukebafor El Chadaille Bitshiabu
78'Yussuf Poulsenfor Arthur Vermeeren

FSV Mainz 05

PosPlayer
GK
Robin Zentner
DEF
Danny da Costa
DEF
Phillipp Mwene
DEF
Anthony Caci
DEF
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
DEF
Moritz Jenz
MID
Nadiem Amiri
MID
Jae-Sung Lee
MID
Paul Nebel
MID
Kaishu Sano
FWD
Jonathan Burkardt

Substitutes

75'Nelson Weiperfor Jonathan Burkardt
83'Lennard Maloney
for Nadiem Amiri
Difference Maker Star: Top 3 players of their team

League Table after the game

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
4FSV Mainz 052412573925+1441
L
D
W
W
W
6RB Leipzig2410863933+638
D
W
D
D
L

Last Games

RB Leipzig

vsFC Heidenheim
2 - 2
@FC Augsburg
0 - 0
vsSt. Pauli
2 - 0
@Union Berlin
0 - 0
vsBayer 04 Leverkusen
2 - 2

FSV Mainz 05

vsSt. Pauli
2 - 0
@FC Heidenheim
2 - 0
vsFC Augsburg
0 - 0
@Werder Bremen
0 - 1
vsVfB Stuttgart
2 - 0

Head-to-Head

31 Jan 2026
RB Leipzig1 - 2FSV Mainz 05
31 Jan 2026RB Leipzig
1 - 2
FSV Mainz 05
13 Sept 2025
FSV Mainz 050 - 1RB Leipzig
13 Sept 2025FSV Mainz 05
0 - 1
RB Leipzig
01 Mar 2025
RB Leipzig1 - 2FSV Mainz 05
01 Mar 2025RB Leipzig
1 - 2
FSV Mainz 05
19 Oct 2024
FSV Mainz 050 - 2RB Leipzig
19 Oct 2024FSV Mainz 05
0 - 2
RB Leipzig
30 Mar 2024
RB Leipzig0 - 0FSV Mainz 05
30 Mar 2024RB Leipzig
0 - 0
FSV Mainz 05

Bundesliga

Gameweek 24

28 Feb • 20:30
VfB Stuttgart
FC Bayern München
1 - 3
01 Mar • 15:30
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1 - 2
01 Mar • 15:30
FC Heidenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0 - 3
01 Mar • 15:30
Werder Bremen
VfL Wolfsburg
1 - 2
01 Mar • 15:30
VfL Bochum
1899 Hoffenheim
0 - 1
01 Mar • 15:30
St. Pauli
Borussia Dortmund
0 - 2
01 Mar • 18:30
Eintracht Frankfurt
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1 - 4
02 Mar • 15:30
Union Berlin
Holstein Kiel
0 - 1
02 Mar • 17:30
FC Augsburg
SC Freiburg
0 - 0

What is GAP?

What is Plus Minus Goals (G±)?

Plus Minus Goals (G±) is the average goal difference per game while the player was on the pitch. A value above 0 indicates that the team rather wins, a value below 0 means his team concedes more goals than they score when the player is on the pitch. As an example, if the player's team is winning 3:1 the goal difference is +2, if the player's team is loosing 0:1, the goal difference is -1. It is a pure metric which is barely adjusted for circumstances to purely show the goal difference.

What is GAP?

GAP (Game Advantage Percentage) shows the percentage gap between a player and the average league player. It answers the question: How much does a player improve or worsen a team's performance? It is based on high level game data with a focus on the impact on the goal difference (G±) from the last 50 games of a player. Besides that, GAP goes further and considers game context by involving data from the player and all other players who are at the same time on the pitch, no matter if teammates or opponents. Football GAP - the individual metric for team players.